Los Angeles FC
vs
Portland Timbers
1 – 1 Full time
Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers
| Probability | Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 26.8% | 33.0% |
| Market | 58.4% | 21.2% | 20.3% |
| Final | 53.9% | 22.6% | 23.5% |
| Edge | -18.3% | +5.6% | +12.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers attack and defence ratings
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers: result vs prediction
Los Angeles FC 1 – 1 Portland Timbers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
- Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
- New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire — match page
- CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
- Inter Miami v Toronto FC — match page
- Charlotte vs DC United — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
- St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo — match page
Before and after this match
Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 53.9% | 1.86 | -18.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 53.9% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Portland Timbers | 23.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles FC win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers stats
Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers recent form
| Los Angeles FC |
LLDWDD |
| Portland Timbers |
WLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers going into this match
Los Angeles FC record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portland Timbers record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Portland Timbers | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Los Angeles FC | Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Portland Timbers | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.1%, draw 21.4%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.62 | 4.40 | 4.45 |
| 888Sport | 1.62 | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.33 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 4.55 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.40 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.59 | 4.51 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 4.14 | 4.37 |
| Superbet | 1.63 | 4.45 | 4.65 |
| Unibet | 1.58 | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .