CF Montreal
vs
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 2 Full time
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy
| Probability | CF Montreal | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.7% | 31.3% | 25.0% |
| Market | 45.1% | 25.6% | 29.3% |
| Final | 44.8% | 27.0% | 28.2% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +5.7% | -4.2% |
Why CF Montreal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.90.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy attack and defence ratings
CF Montreal
Los Angeles Galaxy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy: result vs prediction
CF Montreal 2 – 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
- Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
- New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire — match page
- FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
- Inter Miami v Toronto FC — match page
- Charlotte vs DC United — team news & stats
- Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
- St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo — match page
- Austin vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
Before and after this match
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CF Montreal | 44.8% | 2.23 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CF Montreal | 44.8% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.0% |
| No | 56.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CF Montreal win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy stats
CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy recent form
| CF Montreal |
WDDLLD |
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
WLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy going into this match
CF Montreal record
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles Galaxy record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 25.5%, away 29.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.70 | 3.05 |
| 888Sport | 2.10 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.62 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.76 | 3.41 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.02 |
| Superbet | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .