San Diego
vs
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 – 1 Full time
San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy
| Probability | San Diego | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 26.8% | 19.9% |
| Market | 51.6% | 23.2% | 25.2% |
| Final | 52.0% | 24.1% | 23.9% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +3.6% | -5.3% |
Why San Diego
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Diego and Los Angeles Galaxy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
San Diego and Los Angeles Galaxy attack and defence ratings
San Diego
Los Angeles Galaxy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy: result vs prediction
San Diego 3 – 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
- Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire
- Toronto FC v New York City FC — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte
- DC United vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
- Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
Before and after this match
San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Diego | 52.0% | 1.92 | +1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Diego | 52.0% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Diego win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 2-0 | 10.4% |
San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy stats
San Diego and Los Angeles Galaxy recent form
| San Diego |
WLWWWL |
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
DWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Diego and Los Angeles Galaxy going into this match
San Diego record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Los Angeles Galaxy record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-24 | San Diego | Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | San Diego | Major League Soccer | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.6%, draw 23.2%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.81 | 3.95 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 4.20 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.95 | 3.66 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 4.11 | 3.70 |
| Unibet | 1.75 | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .