Garuda Lions
Today
Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 23

Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution

2 – 1 Full time

10′William Sands
11′M. Reus
33′R. Taylor
44′Jack Harrison
58′E. ThommyP. Ruiz
58′S. RobertoL. Sanabria
59′Harbor Miller
62′Hirving Lozano
74′K. FuruhashiI. Parente
74′R. TaylorJ. Paintsil
75′W. SandsD. Gazdag
76′Mamadou Fofana
80′D. TurgemanW. Harris
83′H. LozanoT. Elgersma
85′M. PolsterI. Feingold
85′A. YusufL. Langoni
90′C. Gil

Dignity Health Sports Park, CarsonReferee: Drew Fischer, Canada

Los Angeles Galaxy 28%
Draw 29%
New England Revolution 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 7
48 Possession % 52
5 Corners 3
13 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0
6 Saves 1
452 Accurate passes 505

Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLos Angeles GalaxyDrawNew England Revolution
Model27.7%29.2%43.1%
Market———
Final27.7%29.2%43.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why New England Revolution

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Los Angeles Ga ↓ / New England Re → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Los Angeles Galaxy and New England Revolution expected goals

Los Angeles Galaxy 1.08
New England Revolution 1.40

Total expected goals: 2.48

Los Angeles Galaxy and New England Revolution attack and defence ratings

Los Angeles Galaxy

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.98 -2%

New England Revolution

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution: result vs prediction

Los Angeles Galaxy 2 – 1 New England Revolution

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 New England Revolution 43.1% 2.32 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.0% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Los Angeles Galaxy27.7%
Draw29.2%
New England Revolution43.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.0%
No49.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.9%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)72.3%
Handicap -1New England Revolution win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss57.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-110.5%
0-09.6%

Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution stats

Los Angeles Galaxy and New England Revolution recent form

newest first
Los Angeles Galaxy LDWLDD
New England Revolution WDWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Los Angeles Galaxy and New England Revolution going into this match

league record before kick-off

Los Angeles Galaxy record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

New England Revolution record

  • They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Los Angeles Galaxy wins 1Draws 4New England Revolution wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-08-29New England RevolutionLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer1-2
2019-06-03Los Angeles GalaxyNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer1-2
2018-07-14New England RevolutionLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer2-3
2017-07-22New England RevolutionLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer4-3
2016-05-08Los Angeles GalaxyNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer4-2
2015-05-31New England RevolutionLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer2-2
2014-12-07Los Angeles GalaxyNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer2-1
2014-07-17Los Angeles GalaxyNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer5-1
2013-06-02New England RevolutionLos Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer5-0
2012-04-01Los Angeles GalaxyNew England RevolutionMajor League Soccer1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 25.2%, away 35.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.70 2.76
Bet365 2.45 3.75 2.62
BetVictor 2.45 3.75 2.55
Betano 2.37 3.65 2.80
Betfair 2.30 3.70 2.75
Dafabet 2.34 3.70 2.90
Marathonbet 2.41 3.72 2.57
Pinnacle 2.55 3.91 2.56
Unibet 2.35 3.60 2.70
William Hill 2.30 3.80 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▲ +0.46
X 3.75 ▼ -0.02
2 2.56 ▼ -0.77

23 snapshots recorded, from .