Major League Soccer · Full time ·Matchday 22

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal

7 – 1 Full time

Nu Stadium, MiamiReferee: Elijio Arreguin, USA

Inter Miami 62%
Draw 19%
CF Montreal 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Miami vs CF Montreal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
Model48.3%21.9%29.9%
Market66.5%17.8%15.7%
Final61.9%18.8%19.2%
Edge-18.2%+4.1%+14.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Inter Miami

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.73.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Miami ↓ / CF Montreal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Inter Miami and CF Montreal expected goals

Inter Miami 2.21
CF Montreal 1.73

Total expected goals: 3.93

Inter Miami and CF Montreal attack and defence ratings

Inter Miami

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 1.35 +35%

CF Montreal

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal: result vs prediction

Inter Miami 7 – 1 CF Montreal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Major League Soccer

Before and after this match

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Miami 61.9% 1.61 -18.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.2% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.9% 1.35 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Miami61.9%
Draw18.8%
CF Montreal19.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.2%
Under 2.524.8%
Both teams to scoreYes73.9%
No26.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.8%
12 (either side)81.2%
X2 (draw or away)38.1%
Handicap -1Inter Miami win29.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.2%
1-18.2%
2-27.1%

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal stats

Inter Miami and CF Montreal recent form

newest first
Inter Miami LDLLLW
CF Montreal DWDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Miami and CF Montreal going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Miami record

  • They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CF Montreal record

  • They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

3Inter Miami wins 0Draws 0CF Montreal wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25CF MontrealInter MiamiMajor League Soccer0-1
2025-07-05CF MontrealInter MiamiMajor League Soccer1-4
2025-05-28Inter MiamiCF MontrealMajor League Soccer4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.5%, draw 17.8%, away 15.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.41 5.30 5.80
Bet365 1.38 5.00 6.50
BetVictor 1.40 5.00 5.75
Betano 1.44 5.20 6.20
Betfair 1.36 5.50 6.00
Dafabet 1.44 5.60 6.20
Marathonbet 1.40 5.30 5.90
Pinnacle 1.42 5.53 5.75
SBO 1.36 4.64 5.13
Superbet 1.43 5.35 6.00
Unibet 1.41 5.10 6.00
William Hill 1.40 5.00 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.04
X 5.25 ▲ +0.15
2 5.95 ▲ +0.17

11 snapshots recorded, from .