Nashville SC
vs
Columbus Crew
3 – 2 Full time
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
| Probability | Nashville SC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.3% | 22.8% | 16.9% |
| Market | 54.3% | 24.5% | 21.2% |
| Final | 55.8% | 24.1% | 20.1% |
| Edge | +6.0% | -1.7% | -4.3% |
Why Nashville SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Nashville SC below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nashville SC and Columbus Crew expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Nashville SC and Columbus Crew attack and defence ratings
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew: result vs prediction
Nashville SC 3 – 2 Columbus Crew
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
- Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
- New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire — match page
- CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy — team news & stats
- FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
- Inter Miami v Toronto FC — match page
- Charlotte vs DC United — team news & stats
- St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo — match page
- Austin vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nashville SC | 55.8% | 1.79 | +6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nashville SC | 55.8% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Columbus Crew | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nashville SC win | 37.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 10.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew stats
Nashville SC and Columbus Crew recent form
| Nashville SC |
WWLWLD |
| Columbus Crew |
LLDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nashville SC and Columbus Crew going into this match
Nashville SC record
- They have won 16 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Columbus Crew record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Columbus Crew | Nashville SC | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-17 | Nashville SC | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Columbus Crew | Nashville SC | Major League Soccer | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 24.7%, away 21.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.81 | 3.80 | 3.95 |
| 888Sport | 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.05 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.82 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.91 | 4.44 |
| SBO | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.16 |
| Superbet | 1.76 | 3.85 | 4.45 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .