Nashville SC
vs
FC Cincinnati
4 – 0 Full time
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati
| Probability | Nashville SC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.3% | 22.8% | 24.9% |
| Market | 52.2% | 23.4% | 24.3% |
| Final | 52.2% | 23.3% | 24.5% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -0.6% | +0.5% |
Why Nashville SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.50
Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati attack and defence ratings
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati: result vs prediction
Nashville SC 4 – 0 FC Cincinnati
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
- Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire
- Toronto FC v New York City FC — match page
- New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — team news & stats
- Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte
- DC United vs Los Angeles FC — team news & stats
- Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
- Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nashville SC | 52.2% | 1.91 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nashville SC | 52.2% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| FC Cincinnati | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% |
| No | 32.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nashville SC win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 47.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 6.6% |
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati stats
Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati recent form
| Nashville SC |
WWWLWL |
| FC Cincinnati |
DWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati going into this match
Nashville SC record
- They have won 16 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Cincinnati record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | FC Cincinnati | Nashville SC | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Nashville SC | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.2%, draw 23.4%, away 24.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.82 | 4.00 | 3.65 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.96 | 3.92 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.11 | 3.95 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .