Club America
vs
Columbus Crew
2 – 0 Full time
Club America vs Columbus Crew overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club America vs Columbus Crew
| Probability | Club America | Draw | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.9% | 16.4% | 9.8% |
| Market | 56.0% | 25.3% | 18.7% |
| Final | 60.5% | 23.1% | 16.5% |
| Edge | +17.8% | -8.9% | -8.9% |
Why Club America
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club America below the model: +17.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club America and Columbus Crew expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.60
Club America and Columbus Crew attack and defence ratings
Club America
Columbus Crew
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club America vs Columbus Crew: result vs prediction
Club America 2 – 0 Columbus Crew
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Club America vs Columbus Crew markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 60.5% | 1.65 | +17.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 60.5% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Columbus Crew | 16.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 53.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 25.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 3-0 | 8.8% |
Club America vs Columbus Crew stats
Club America and Columbus Crew recent form
| Club America |
WWDWWW |
| Columbus Crew |
LLLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club America and Columbus Crew going into this match
Club America record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Club America vs Columbus Crew head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Columbus Crew | Club America | Campeones Cup | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-01 | Club America | Columbus Crew | Leagues Cup | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club America vs Columbus Crew odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 25.3%, away 18.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.64 | 5.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 3.68 | 5.53 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.68 | 4.54 |
| Superbet | 1.69 | 3.85 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.64 | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .