Club America
vs
Puebla
2 – 0 Full time
Club America vs Puebla overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club America vs Puebla
| Probability | Club America | Draw | Puebla |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81.9% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Market | 69.4% | 19.1% | 11.5% |
| Final | 72.5% | 17.3% | 10.2% |
| Edge | +12.5% | -7.2% | -5.3% |
Why Club America
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.19 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club America below the model: +12.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club America and Puebla expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.06
Club America and Puebla attack and defence ratings
Club America
Puebla
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club America vs Puebla: result vs prediction
Club America 2 – 0 Puebla
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
- Necaxa v Cruz Azul — match page
- Atlante FC vs Leon — team news & stats
- Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- Atlas v Club Queretaro — match page
- CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas — team news & stats
- Santos Laguna v Tigres UANL — match page
- Toluca vs FC Juarez — team news & stats
- Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis
Before and after this match
Club America vs Puebla markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 72.5% | 1.38 | +12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 72.5% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Puebla | 10.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 64.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 18.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 9.4% |
| 2-0 | 8.8% | |
| 3-1 | 8.1% |
Club America vs Puebla stats
Club America and Puebla recent form
| Club America |
WWWDWW |
| Puebla |
WWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club America and Puebla going into this match
Club America record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Puebla record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Club America vs Puebla head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Puebla | Club America | Liga MX | 0-4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Club America | Puebla | Liga MX | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club America vs Puebla odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.4%, draw 19.1%, away 11.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.33 | 4.85 | 9.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.95 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 4.80 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 5.20 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 4.95 | 8.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.18 | 8.23 |
| SBO | 1.32 | 4.52 | 6.95 |
| Unibet | 1.36 | 4.70 | 7.00 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .