Puebla
vs
Santos Laguna
3 – 2 Full time
Puebla vs Santos Laguna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Puebla vs Santos Laguna
| Probability | Puebla | Draw | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 26.5% | 27.9% |
| Market | 45.2% | 26.2% | 28.6% |
| Final | 45.3% | 26.3% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +0.5% | +0.3% | -0.8% |
Why Puebla
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.25.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Puebla and Santos Laguna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Puebla and Santos Laguna attack and defence ratings
Puebla
Santos Laguna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Puebla vs Santos Laguna: result vs prediction
Puebla 3 – 2 Santos Laguna
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
- Tigres UANL v Atlante FC — match page
- Leon vs Monterrey — team news & stats
- Club Queretaro vs Toluca
- FC Juarez v Club America — match page
- Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana — team news & stats
- Cruz Azul v Atlas — match page
- Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca — team news & stats
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa
Before and after this match
Puebla vs Santos Laguna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puebla | 45.3% | 2.21 | +0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puebla | 45.3% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Santos Laguna | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puebla win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 54.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Puebla vs Santos Laguna stats
Puebla and Santos Laguna recent form
| Puebla |
WLLLDL |
| Santos Laguna |
LWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Puebla and Santos Laguna going into this match
Puebla record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Santos Laguna record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Puebla vs Santos Laguna head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Santos Laguna | Puebla | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Puebla | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Puebla vs Santos Laguna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 26.1%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.56 | 3.25 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.70 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.56 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.74 | 3.39 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.21 | 2.93 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.65 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .