U.N.A.M. - Pumas
vs
Necaxa
1 – 1 Full time
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa
| Probability | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Draw | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.3% | 26.8% | 22.0% |
| Market | 48.0% | 26.3% | 25.7% |
| Final | 48.8% | 26.4% | 24.8% |
| Edge | +3.3% | +0.5% | -3.7% |
Why U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.01.
- The market prices U.N.A.M. - Pumas below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Necaxa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Necaxa attack and defence ratings
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Necaxa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa: result vs prediction
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 – 1 Necaxa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
- Tigres UANL v Atlante FC — match page
- Leon vs Monterrey — team news & stats
- Club Queretaro vs Toluca
- FC Juarez v Club America — match page
- Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana — team news & stats
- Puebla vs Santos Laguna
- Cruz Azul v Atlas — match page
- Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca — team news & stats
Before and after this match
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 48.8% | 2.05 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 48.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Necaxa | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 48.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa stats
U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Necaxa recent form
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
DDLLWW |
| Necaxa |
LWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Necaxa going into this match
U.N.A.M. - Pumas record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Necaxa record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Necaxa | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Necaxa | Liga MX | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.1%, draw 26.2%, away 25.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.54 | 3.62 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.55 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.54 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 3.70 | 3.73 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 3.34 | 3.44 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 1.88 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .