Atletico San Luis
vs
CF Pachuca
1 – 1 Full time
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca
| Probability | Atletico San Luis | Draw | CF Pachuca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 26.7% | 40.3% |
| Market | 30.6% | 27.3% | 42.1% |
| Final | 31.2% | 27.2% | 41.6% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -0.6% | -1.8% |
Why CF Pachuca
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca attack and defence ratings
Atletico San Luis
CF Pachuca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca: result vs prediction
Atletico San Luis 1 – 1 CF Pachuca
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CF Pachuca | 41.6% | 2.40 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 31.2% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| CF Pachuca | 41.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | CF Pachuca win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca stats
Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca recent form
| Atletico San Luis |
LDLLDD |
| CF Pachuca |
LWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca going into this match
Atletico San Luis record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
CF Pachuca record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Atletico San Luis | CF Pachuca | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | CF Pachuca | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.8%, draw 27.2%, away 42.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.22 |
| 1xBet | 3.00 | 3.42 | 2.24 |
| 888Sport | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.22 |
| Marathonbet | 2.98 | 3.42 | 2.22 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 3.63 | 2.32 |
| SBO | 2.90 | 3.23 | 2.20 |
| Superbet | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.22 |
| Unibet | 3.20 | 3.45 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .