Cruz Azul
vs
Atlas
0 – 2 Full time
Cruz Azul vs Atlas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cruz Azul vs Atlas
| Probability | Cruz Azul | Draw | Atlas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.8% | 26.1% | 19.1% |
| Market | 60.0% | 23.1% | 16.9% |
| Final | 58.7% | 23.8% | 17.5% |
| Edge | -5.1% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
Why Cruz Azul
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.92.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cruz Azul and Atlas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Cruz Azul and Atlas attack and defence ratings
Cruz Azul
Atlas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cruz Azul vs Atlas: result vs prediction
Cruz Azul 0 – 2 Atlas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cruz Azul vs Atlas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruz Azul | 58.7% | 1.70 | -5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruz Azul | 58.7% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Atlas | 17.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cruz Azul win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 2-0 | 10.5% |
Cruz Azul vs Atlas stats
Cruz Azul and Atlas recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cruz Azul and Atlas going into this match
Cruz Azul record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Atlas record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Cruz Azul vs Atlas head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Cruz Azul | Atlas | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Atlas | Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 2-3 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cruz Azul | Atlas | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Atlas | Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cruz Azul vs Atlas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.1%, draw 23.0%, away 16.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.48 | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.98 | 5.52 |
| 888Sport | 1.44 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.25 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.98 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.11 | 5.61 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 3.71 | 4.84 |
| Superbet | 1.59 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 4.10 | 5.75 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .