Atlas
vs
Club Queretaro
1 – 3 Full time
Atlas vs Club Queretaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlas vs Club Queretaro
| Probability | Atlas | Draw | Club Queretaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.1% | 30.9% | 21.0% |
| Market | 43.9% | 28.0% | 28.0% |
| Final | 44.9% | 28.8% | 26.3% |
| Edge | +4.2% | +2.8% | -7.0% |
Why Atlas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Atlas below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlas and Club Queretaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Atlas and Club Queretaro attack and defence ratings
Atlas
Club Queretaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atlas vs Club Queretaro: result vs prediction
Atlas 1 – 3 Club Queretaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlas vs Club Queretaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlas | 44.9% | 2.22 | +4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlas | 44.9% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Club Queretaro | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.5% |
| No | 58.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlas win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.7% |
| 1-1 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |
Atlas vs Club Queretaro stats
Atlas and Club Queretaro recent form
| Atlas |
WWWLLL |
| Club Queretaro |
LDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlas and Club Queretaro going into this match
Atlas record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Club Queretaro record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlas vs Club Queretaro head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Atlas | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Club Queretaro | Atlas | Liga MX | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atlas vs Club Queretaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 28.0%, away 28.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.12 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.25 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.12 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.12 | 3.73 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.05 | 2.98 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .