Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro

0 – 1 Full time

20′Daniel Parra
30′Mateo Coronel
56′Yael PadillaDiego Fernando Abreu Firenze
62′Paulo VictorCarlos Villanueva
67′Gilberto MoraAldahir Perez
69′Bayron Duarte
75′Bayron DuarteIker Benito Sánchez
82′Francisco GonzálezAarón Mejía
85′Mateo CoronelAlejandro Alcalá Solorio
86′Carlo GarciaBernardo Parra
86′Enzo GiménezErik Duenas
88′Ali Ávila
90′Santiago Homenchenko
90′Diego Reyes

Estadio Caliente, TijuanaReferee: Fernando Hernandez, Mexico

Club Tijuana 47%
Draw 28%
Club Queretaro 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
63 Possession % 37
13 Corners 4
8 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
368 Accurate passes 198

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub TijuanaDrawClub Queretaro
Model42.1%29.3%28.6%
Market48.9%27.7%23.4%
Final47.2%28.1%24.7%
Edge-6.7%+1.6%+5.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Club Tijuana

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Tijuana ↓ / Club Queretaro → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Club Tijuana and Club Queretaro expected goals

Club Tijuana 1.38
Club Queretaro 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.49

Club Tijuana and Club Queretaro attack and defence ratings

Club Tijuana

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Club Queretaro

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro: result vs prediction

Club Tijuana 0 – 1 Club Queretaro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Tijuana 47.2% 2.12 -6.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Tijuana47.2%
Draw28.1%
Club Queretaro24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.3%
Under 2.554.7%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.8%
Handicap -1Club Tijuana win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-010.2%
0-09.6%

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro stats

Club Tijuana and Club Queretaro recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Tijuana and Club Queretaro going into this match

league record before kick-off

Club Tijuana record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Club Queretaro record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Club Tijuana wins 1Draws 4Club Queretaro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-15Club QueretaroClub TijuanaLiga MX1-2
2025-07-12Club TijuanaClub QueretaroLiga MX1-0
2025-01-25Club TijuanaClub QueretaroLiga MX2-1
2024-07-06Club QueretaroClub TijuanaLiga MX1-2
2024-02-10Club TijuanaClub QueretaroLiga MX1-1
2023-10-22Club QueretaroClub TijuanaLiga MX1-0
2023-07-30Club TijuanaClub QueretaroLeagues Cup0-1
2023-06-24Club TijuanaClub QueretaroFriendlies Clubs2-0
2023-04-08Club TijuanaClub QueretaroLiga MX1-2
2022-08-20Club QueretaroClub TijuanaLiga MX2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 27.1%, away 25.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.06 3.55 3.30
1xBet 1.92 3.32 3.98
888Sport 1.95 3.10 3.40
Bet365 1.91 3.50 4.00
BetVictor 1.90 3.50 3.70
Betano 2.00 3.45 3.75
Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.50
Dafabet 2.04 3.50 3.65
Marathonbet 1.90 3.32 3.98
Pinnacle 1.95 3.42 4.24
SBO 2.04 3.09 2.97
Superbet 2.02 3.45 3.60
Unibet 1.98 3.40 3.45
William Hill 1.91 3.10 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▼ -0.11
X 3.37 ▲ +0.12
2 3.98 ▲ +0.33

14 snapshots recorded, from .