Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL

0 – 0 Full time

7′Joaquim Pereira
36′Mauro Laínez
45′Carlos SalcedoStefan Medina
59′Diego Rossi
61′Stefan Medina
67′Jesús CoronaLucas Orellano
70′Rômulo ZanréCesar Araujo
70′Diego LainezDiego Sánchez
76′Lucas OcamposUros Djurdjevic
76′Ricardo ChávezErick Aguirre
81′Alan FrancoEmiliano Gómez
81′Ricardo MonrealRafael Guerrero
85′Juan BrunettaJonathan Herrera
87′Uros Djurdjevic
87′Rafael Guerrero
90′Óliver TorresFidel Ambriz

Estadio BBVA, MonterreyReferee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas, Mexico

Monterrey 43%
Draw 27%
Tigres UANL 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 0
15 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 5
388 Accurate passes 189

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Monterrey vs Tigres UANL

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMonterreyDrawTigres UANL
Model41.4%28.0%30.5%
Market43.0%27.2%29.9%
Final42.6%27.4%30.0%
Edge-1.5%+0.9%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Monterrey

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Monterrey ↓ / Tigres UANL → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Monterrey and Tigres UANL expected goals

Monterrey 1.47
Tigres UANL 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.69

Monterrey and Tigres UANL attack and defence ratings

Monterrey

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Tigres UANL

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL: result vs prediction

Monterrey 0 – 0 Tigres UANL

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Monterrey 42.6% 2.35 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.6% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Monterrey42.6%
Draw27.4%
Tigres UANL30.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.6%
Under 2.549.4%
Both teams to scoreYes55.7%
No44.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.0%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Monterrey win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
2-18.9%
1-08.7%

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL stats

Monterrey and Tigres UANL recent form

newest first
Monterrey LDLWLW
Tigres UANL DDWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Monterrey and Tigres UANL going into this match

league record before kick-off

Monterrey record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Tigres UANL record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Monterrey wins 3Draws 4Tigres UANL wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Tigres UANLMonterreyLiga MX1-0
2025-11-02MonterreyTigres UANLLiga MX1-1
2025-04-13Tigres UANLMonterreyLiga MX2-1
2024-10-20MonterreyTigres UANLLiga MX4-2
2024-05-13MonterreyTigres UANLLiga MX1-1
2024-05-10Tigres UANLMonterreyLiga MX1-2
2024-04-14MonterreyTigres UANLLiga MX3-3
2023-09-24Tigres UANLMonterreyLiga MX3-0
2023-08-09Tigres UANLMonterreyLeagues Cup0-1
2023-05-21MonterreyTigres UANLLiga MX0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 27.5%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.22 3.75 2.82
1xBet 2.14 3.54 3.09
888Sport 2.15 3.20 2.88
Bet365 2.20 3.40 3.25
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 3.10
Betano 2.25 3.30 3.20
Betfair 2.25 3.40 3.00
Dafabet 2.26 3.50 3.10
Marathonbet 2.12 3.54 3.08
Pinnacle 2.27 3.32 3.36
SBO 2.08 3.33 3.05
Superbet 2.25 3.40 3.10
Unibet 2.35 3.45 2.65
William Hill 2.15 3.20 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.08
X 3.40 ▼ -0.11
2 3.09 ▲ +0.03

14 snapshots recorded, from .