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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

3 – 0 Full time

3′Santiago Sandoval
38′Pedro Vite
56′Santiago Sandoval
57′Ángel SepúlvedaBryan Gonzalez
57′Hugo CamberosRichard Ledezma
57′Omar GoveaEfrain Alvarez
61′Carlos AntunaAlan Medina
61′Pedro ViteAdalberto Carrasquilla
67′Bryan Gonzalez
68′Daniel AguirreLuis Rey
71′Victor ArteagaIsrael Luna
71′Olávio Vieira dos Santos JúnioSantiago Trigos
77′Santiago SandovalBrian Gutierrez
80′Diego Campillo
80′Luciano Herrera
89′Luciano HerreraSantiago Lopez

Estadio Akron, ZapopanReferee: Maximiliano Quintero Hernandez, Mexico

Guadalajara Chivas 62%
Draw 22%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
65 Possession % 35
6 Corners 4
11 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
5 Saves 2
620 Accurate passes 296

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGuadalajara ChivasDrawU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Model59.6%25.3%15.1%
Market63.1%21.4%15.5%
Final62.2%22.4%15.4%
Edge-3.5%+3.8%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Guadalajara Chivas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Guadalajara Ch ↓ / U.N.A.M. - Pum → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Guadalajara Chivas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals

Guadalajara Chivas 1.76
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.53

Guadalajara Chivas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas attack and defence ratings

Guadalajara Chivas

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.75 -25%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: result vs prediction

Guadalajara Chivas 3 – 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Guadalajara Chivas 62.2% 1.61 -3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.6% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score No 54.2% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.6% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.4% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Guadalajara Chivas62.2%
Draw22.4%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas15.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.4%
Under 2.553.6%
Both teams to scoreYes45.8%
No54.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.6%
12 (either side)77.6%
X2 (draw or away)37.8%
Handicap -1Guadalajara Chivas win34.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss40.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.9%
2-012.2%
1-111.9%

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas stats

Guadalajara Chivas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas recent form

newest first
Guadalajara Chivas WDWWWL
U.N.A.M. - Pumas WLDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Guadalajara Chivas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Guadalajara Chivas record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Guadalajara Chivas wins 2Draws 2U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-06Guadalajara ChivasU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX2-2
2025-10-06U.N.A.M. - PumasGuadalajara ChivasLiga MX1-2
2025-03-02U.N.A.M. - PumasGuadalajara ChivasLiga MX0-1
2024-11-03Guadalajara ChivasU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX0-0
2024-02-25Guadalajara ChivasU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX3-1
2023-12-04U.N.A.M. - PumasGuadalajara ChivasLiga MX3-0
2023-12-01Guadalajara ChivasU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX1-0
2023-11-12U.N.A.M. - PumasGuadalajara ChivasLiga MX1-0
2023-02-19U.N.A.M. - PumasGuadalajara ChivasLiga MX1-2
2022-08-28Guadalajara ChivasU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 21.6%, away 15.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.51 4.20 5.90
1xBet 1.47 4.45 5.94
888Sport 1.50 3.75 5.00
Bet365 1.50 4.33 6.00
BetVictor 1.45 4.33 6.00
Betano 1.55 4.50 6.40
Betfair 1.47 4.33 6.00
Dafabet 1.57 4.30 5.60
Marathonbet 1.46 4.45 5.90
Pinnacle 1.51 4.63 6.11
SBO 1.45 3.84 5.13
Unibet 1.52 4.00 5.50
William Hill 1.44 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.47 ▼ -0.03
X 4.33 ▲ +0.13
2 6.00 ▲ +0.30

12 snapshots recorded, from .