Liga MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 8
Santos Laguna
vs
FC Juarez
2 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Efrain Orona | ||
| 19′ | Oscar Estupiñan | ||
| 27′ | Diego González | ||
| 27′ | Monchu | ||
| 33′ | Efrain OronaEmmanuel Echeverria | ||
| 52′ | Emmanuel Echeverria | ||
| 54′ | Oscar Estupiñan | ||
| 56′ | Eduardo AguirreEsteban Lozano | ||
| 58′ | Ían TorresLuca Dupuy | ||
| 58′ | Rodrigo DouradoJuan Alexander Sigala García | ||
| 64′ | Ezequiel Bullaude | ||
| 68′ | Oscar EstupiñanMadson de Souza Silva | ||
| 68′ | Francisco NevarezJavier Aquino | ||
| 73′ | Mauricio Cuevas | ||
| 78′ | Esteban Lozano | ||
| 79′ | MonchuRicardo Oliveira | ||
| 82′ | Diego GonzálezRamiro Sordo | ||
| 82′ | Kevin PalaciosL. Gómez | ||
| 82′ | Francisco VillalbaJavier Guemez | ||
| 88′ | Jesus Murillo | ||
| 90′ | Denzell Garcia |
Santos Laguna
50%
Draw
25%
FC Juarez
25%
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 8 |
| 302 | Accurate passes | 260 |
Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez
| Probability | Santos Laguna | Draw | FC Juarez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.9% | 25.8% | 18.3% |
| Market | 47.8% | 25.4% | 26.8% |
| Final | 49.8% | 25.5% | 24.7% |
| Edge | +8.1% | +0.4% | -8.5% |
Why Santos Laguna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.91.
- The market prices Santos Laguna below the model: +8.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Santos Laguna and FC Juarez expected goals
Santos Laguna
1.74
FC Juarez
0.91
Total expected goals: 2.65
Santos Laguna and FC Juarez attack and defence ratings
Santos Laguna
Attack
0.65 -35%
Defence
1.04 +4%
FC Juarez
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.63 +63%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez: result vs prediction
Santos Laguna 2 – 1 FC Juarez
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos Laguna | 49.8% | 2.01 | +8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos Laguna | 49.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| FC Juarez | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santos Laguna win | 32.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 2-0 | 10.7% |
Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez stats
Santos Laguna and FC Juarez recent form
| Santos Laguna |
LDLLWL |
| FC Juarez |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santos Laguna and FC Juarez going into this match
Santos Laguna record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Juarez record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Santos Laguna wins
2Draws
5FC Juarez wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Santos Laguna | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Juarez | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-30 | FC Juarez | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-07 | Santos Laguna | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-01 | FC Juarez | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-30 | Santos Laguna | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 5-1 |
| 2023-02-12 | FC Juarez | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 3-1 |
| 2022-09-19 | Santos Laguna | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-19 | FC Juarez | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2021-08-29 | Santos Laguna | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 25.4%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.70 | 3.48 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.70 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 3.67 | 3.68 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.23 | 3.09 |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.95 —
X
3.67 ▼ -0.03
2
3.48 ▲ +0.10
14 snapshots recorded, from .