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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 9

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL

2 – 0 Full time

45′Denzell Garcia
45′Rodrigo DouradoGuilherme Castilho
60′Javier AquinoManuel Mayorga
62′Diego SánchezGuillermo Martinez
63′Ricardo MonrealJonathan Herrera
66′Oscar Estupiñan
76′Denzell GarciaLeonardo Silva
79′Oscar Estupiñan
83′Joaquim PereiraEmiliano Gómez
83′Mauro LaínezRafael Guerrero
89′MonchuRicardo Oliveira
89′Oscar EstupiñanMadson de Souza Silva
90′Guillermo Martinez

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad JuarezReferee: Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava

FC Juarez 22%
Draw 27%
Tigres UANL 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
42 Possession % 58
2 Corners 9
10 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 5
5 Saves 2
277 Accurate passes 379

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC JuarezDrawTigres UANL
Model20.0%27.9%52.0%
Market23.2%26.1%50.7%
Final22.4%26.5%51.1%
Edge-3.2%+1.9%+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Tigres UANL

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Juarez ↓ / Tigres UANL → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 11% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

FC Juarez and Tigres UANL expected goals

FC Juarez 0.88
Tigres UANL 1.55

Total expected goals: 2.43

FC Juarez and Tigres UANL attack and defence ratings

FC Juarez

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.61 +61%

Tigres UANL

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL: result vs prediction

FC Juarez 2 – 0 Tigres UANL

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tigres UANL 51.1% 1.96 +1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 52.8% 1.90 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.6% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.9% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Juarez22.4%
Draw26.5%
Tigres UANL51.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.8%
Under 2.556.2%
Both teams to scoreYes47.2%
No52.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.9%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)77.6%
Handicap -1Tigres UANL win27.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss47.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
0-112.5%
0-210.6%

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL stats

FC Juarez and Tigres UANL recent form

newest first
FC Juarez LLLLLL
Tigres UANL DDDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Juarez and Tigres UANL going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Juarez record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tigres UANL record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2FC Juarez wins 2Draws 6Tigres UANL wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-23FC JuarezTigres UANLLiga MX2-1
2025-07-20Tigres UANLFC JuarezLiga MX1-0
2025-02-26Tigres UANLFC JuarezLiga MX0-1
2024-09-23FC JuarezTigres UANLLiga MX0-1
2024-02-29Tigres UANLFC JuarezLiga MX1-0
2023-07-09FC JuarezTigres UANLLiga MX1-1
2023-02-15Tigres UANLFC JuarezLiga MX0-0
2022-07-27FC JuarezTigres UANLLiga MX0-1
2022-02-26FC JuarezTigres UANLLiga MX2-3
2021-11-07Tigres UANLFC JuarezLiga MX3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.2%, draw 26.1%, away 50.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.06 3.50 1.83
Bet365 4.10 3.60 1.90
BetVictor 3.80 3.60 1.83
Betano 4.05 3.75 1.95
Betfair 3.90 3.70 1.85
Marathonbet 4.05 3.50 1.81
Pinnacle 4.27 3.68 1.87
SBO 3.64 3.37 1.86
William Hill 3.80 3.25 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.05 ▲ +0.10
X 3.60 ▼ -0.04
2 1.85 —

10 snapshots recorded, from .