Tigres UANL
vs
Puebla
1 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | Alejandro Organista | ||
| 45′ | Juan VigónCesar Araujo | ||
| 45′ | Carlos BaltazarOscar Villa | ||
| 54′ | Juan Brunetta | ||
| 68′ | Brayan GarnicaOmar Moreno | ||
| 69′ | Ignacio MaestroL. Hernández | ||
| 74′ | Jonathan HerreraDiego Lainez | ||
| 83′ | José PachucaIker Moreno | ||
| 87′ | Guillermo MartinezRicardo Monreal | ||
| 87′ | Diego SánchezAntonio de María y Campos Moreno | ||
| 90′ | Fernando MonarrezHeriberto Jurado | ||
| 90′ | Mauro LaínezVladimir Loroña |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 424 | Accurate passes | 311 |
Tigres UANL vs Puebla overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tigres UANL vs Puebla
| Probability | Tigres UANL | Draw | Puebla |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.5% | 29.4% | 21.1% |
| Market | 59.7% | 22.6% | 17.8% |
| Final | 57.1% | 24.3% | 18.6% |
| Edge | -10.2% | +6.8% | +3.3% |
Why Tigres UANL
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.86.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tigres UANL and Puebla expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Tigres UANL and Puebla attack and defence ratings
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tigres UANL vs Puebla: result vs prediction
Tigres UANL 1 – 0 Puebla
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tigres UANL vs Puebla markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tigres UANL | 57.1% | 1.75 | -10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tigres UANL | 57.1% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Puebla | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tigres UANL win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Tigres UANL vs Puebla stats
Tigres UANL and Puebla recent form
| Tigres UANL |
LDDDWL |
| Puebla |
DLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tigres UANL and Puebla going into this match
Tigres UANL record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puebla record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tigres UANL vs Puebla head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Puebla | Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Tigres UANL | Puebla | Liga MX | 7-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Puebla | Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Tigres UANL | Puebla | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-01 | Tigres UANL | Puebla | Leagues Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Puebla | Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 2-3 |
| 2023-12-04 | Tigres UANL | Puebla | Liga MX | 3-0 |
| 2023-12-01 | Puebla | Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-02 | Tigres UANL | Puebla | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-08 | Tigres UANL | Puebla | Liga MX | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tigres UANL vs Puebla odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.7%, draw 22.6%, away 17.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.15 | 5.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.50 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.15 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.44 | 5.29 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.84 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .