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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 10

Club Tijuana vs Atlas

2 – 3 Full time

15′Ryan Mmaee
21′Mourad El Ghezouani
37′José Rivero
41′Unai BilbaoAlejandro Magallón Fernández
45′Aldahir PerezFrank Boya
54′Juan Sánchez
57′Paulo RamirezSergio Hernández
65′Francisco GonzálezYael Padilla
71′Ramiro Árciga
72′Ramiro ÁrcigaAngel Zapata
74′Ryan MmaeeJosé Martín
79′Sergio Hernández
83′Yael Padilla
87′Luís André Leite Esteves
90′Florián Monzón
90′Kevin ZenonArturo González

Estadio Caliente , TijuanaReferee: Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre

Club Tijuana 47%
Draw 27%
Atlas 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 7
30 Possession % 70
5 Corners 11
10 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
4 Saves 3
178 Accurate passes 522

Club Tijuana vs Atlas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Tijuana vs Atlas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub TijuanaDrawAtlas
Model50.9%25.6%23.5%
Market46.3%26.9%26.7%
Final47.5%26.6%25.9%
Edge+4.6%-1.3%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Club Tijuana

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.15.
  • The market prices Club Tijuana below the model: +4.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Tijuana ↓ / Atlas → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Club Tijuana and Atlas expected goals

Club Tijuana 1.77
Atlas 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.92

Club Tijuana and Atlas attack and defence ratings

Club Tijuana

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Atlas

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Club Tijuana vs Atlas: result vs prediction

Club Tijuana 2 – 3 Atlas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Club Tijuana vs Atlas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Tijuana 47.5% 2.11 +4.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.8% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.0% 2.04 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Tijuana47.5%
Draw26.6%
Atlas25.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.8%
No42.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.1%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)52.5%
Handicap -1Club Tijuana win28.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss49.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.7%
2-08.5%

Club Tijuana vs Atlas stats

Club Tijuana and Atlas recent form

newest first
Club Tijuana DLWLWL
Atlas DLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Tijuana and Atlas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Club Tijuana record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Atlas record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Club Tijuana vs Atlas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Club Tijuana wins 3Draws 2Atlas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-05AtlasClub TijuanaLiga MX2-1
2025-11-08Club TijuanaAtlasLiga MX2-0
2025-03-10Club TijuanaAtlasLiga MX3-4
2024-11-25Club TijuanaAtlasLiga MX3-0
2024-10-27AtlasClub TijuanaLiga MX0-0
2024-01-21AtlasClub TijuanaLiga MX0-0
2023-10-30Club TijuanaAtlasLiga MX2-0
2023-03-04Club TijuanaAtlasLiga MX1-1
2022-07-27AtlasClub TijuanaLiga MX1-2
2022-02-26Club TijuanaAtlasLiga MX2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Club Tijuana vs Atlas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 27.2%, away 26.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.02 3.34 3.50
Bet365 2.05 3.50 3.60
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.40
Betano 2.15 3.55 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.40
Marathonbet 2.00 3.34 3.48
Pinnacle 2.06 3.48 3.73
SBO 1.97 3.04 3.21
William Hill 1.95 3.10 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▲ +0.11
X 3.48 ▲ +0.03
2 3.50 ▼ -0.26

10 snapshots recorded, from .