Liga MX · 2026-09-27T03:05:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 10

Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca

1 – 0 Full time

45′			Francisco Venegas
45′			Francisco Villalba
45′			Mauricio IsaisOussama Idrissi
45′			Alan BautistaRodolfo Pizarro
47′			Facundo Cáseres
59′			Kevin PalaciosEduardo Aguirre
67′			Sergio RodríguezAdrián Alcaraz
67′			Sebastian SantosCarlos Sánchez
73′			Esteban LozanoRamiro Sordo
73′			Francisco VillalbaAldo Lopez
81′			Javier VallejoGael Álvarez
89′			Diego González
90′			Diego GonzálezEmmanuel Echeverria
90′			Efrain OronaJonathan Geovanni Pérez Sánchez
90′			Sergio Barreto
90′			Carlos Sánchez

Estadio TSM Corona, TorreonReferee: Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez

Santos Laguna

30%

Draw

27%

CF Pachuca

43%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

17	Shots	11
9	Shots on target	0
55	Possession %	45
10	Corners	5
12	Fouls	14
2	Offsides	3
0	Saves	8
349	Accurate passes	250

Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Santos Laguna	Draw	CF Pachuca
Model	31.2%	29.6%	39.2%
Market	29.7%	26.2%	44.1%
Final	30.1%	27.0%	42.9%
Edge	+1.5%	+3.4%	-4.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

72%

3+ goals

45%

No goals

10%

Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca expected goals

Santos Laguna

1.15

CF Pachuca

1.32

Total expected goals: 2.47

Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca attack and defence ratings

Santos Laguna

Attack

0.84 -16%

Defence

1.01 +1%

CF Pachuca

Attack

1.05 +5%

Defence

0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca: result vs prediction

Santos Laguna 1 – 0 CF Pachuca

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

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Cruz Azul vs Toluca · 2026-09-26
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro · 2026-09-26
Tigres UANL v Puebla — match page · 2026-09-27
U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Atletico San Luis — match page · 2026-09-27
Leon vs FC Juarez — team news & stats · 2026-09-28
Necaxa vs Club America · 2026-09-28

Before and after this match

Santos Laguna, previous: Toluca vs Santos Laguna prediction
Santos Laguna, next: Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna: odds and pick
CF Pachuca, previous: CF Pachuca – Club Tijuana, 2026-09-21
CF Pachuca, next: CF Pachuca v Necaxa analysis

Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	CF Pachuca	42.9%	2.33	-4.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	55.0%	1.82	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	51.5%	1.94	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.0%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	60.7%	1.65	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Santos Laguna	30.1%
	Draw	27.0%
	CF Pachuca	42.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.0%
	Under 2.5	55.0%
Both teams to score	Yes	51.5%
	No	48.5%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	57.1%
	12 (either side)	73.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	69.9%
Handicap -1	CF Pachuca win	18.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.8%
	Loss	60.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.1%
	0-1	9.8%
	0-0	9.7%

Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca stats

Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca recent form

newest first

Santos Laguna	WWLDLL
CF Pachuca	DWWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca going into this match

league record before kick-off

Santos Laguna record

They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CF Pachuca record

They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Santos Laguna wins 2Draws 6CF Pachuca wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-12	CF Pachuca	Santos Laguna	Liga MX	4-2
2025-11-09	Santos Laguna	CF Pachuca	Liga MX	1-0
2025-01-21	CF Pachuca	Santos Laguna	Liga MX	2-1
2024-10-23	Santos Laguna	CF Pachuca	Liga MX	1-1
2024-04-21	Santos Laguna	CF Pachuca	Liga MX	0-2
2023-09-19	CF Pachuca	Santos Laguna	Liga MX	3-2
2023-05-07	CF Pachuca	Santos Laguna	Liga MX	4-4
2023-04-10	Santos Laguna	CF Pachuca	Liga MX	1-4
2022-09-03	CF Pachuca	Santos Laguna	Liga MX	2-0
2022-04-04	Santos Laguna	CF Pachuca	Liga MX	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.7%, draw 26.2%, away 44.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	3.14	3.54	2.09
Bet365	3.30	3.50	2.15
BetVictor	3.10	3.60	2.05
Betano	3.20	3.60	2.12
Betfair	3.00	3.80	2.10
Marathonbet	3.12	3.54	2.07
Pinnacle	3.24	3.71	2.17
SBO	2.84	3.26	2.12
William Hill	2.90	3.30	2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.12 ▲ +0.10

X 3.54 ▼ -0.01

2 2.10 ▼ -0.04

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-21T08:10:02Z.