Liga MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 10
Guadalajara Chivas
vs
Club Queretaro
0 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | Ali Ávila | ||
| 41′ | Bayron Duarte | ||
| 45′ | Fernando GonzálezRichard Ledezma | ||
| 45′ | Brian GutierrezÁngel Sepúlveda | ||
| 52′ | Bayron DuarteCarlos Villanueva | ||
| 62′ | Kevin CastañedaEfrain Alvarez | ||
| 65′ | Iker Benito SánchezBernardo Parra | ||
| 68′ | Mateo Coronel | ||
| 77′ | Hugo CamberosJordan Carrillo | ||
| 83′ | Mateo CoronelAlejandro Alcalá Solorio | ||
| 83′ | Carlo GarciaPaulo Victor | ||
| 85′ | Daniel AguirreLuis Rey | ||
| 87′ | Lucas Abascia | ||
| 90′ | Omar Govea |
Guadalajara Chivas
60%
Draw
23%
Club Queretaro
17%
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 74 | Possession % | 26 |
| 13 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 614 | Accurate passes | 146 |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro
| Probability | Guadalajara Chivas | Draw | Club Queretaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.5% | 25.6% | 15.9% |
| Market | 60.7% | 22.3% | 17.0% |
| Final | 60.2% | 23.1% | 16.7% |
| Edge | -2.2% | +3.3% | -1.1% |
Why Guadalajara Chivas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro expected goals
Guadalajara Chivas
1.73
Club Queretaro
0.80
Total expected goals: 2.54
Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro attack and defence ratings
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Club Queretaro
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro: result vs prediction
Guadalajara Chivas 0 – 2 Club Queretaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 60.2% | 1.66 | -2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 60.2% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Club Queretaro | 16.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.5% |
| No | 53.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guadalajara Chivas win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.6% |
| 1-1 | 12.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.9% |
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro stats
Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro recent form
| Guadalajara Chivas |
DWWDWW |
| Club Queretaro |
DWWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro going into this match
Guadalajara Chivas record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Queretaro record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
4Guadalajara Chivas wins
4Draws
1Club Queretaro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Club Queretaro | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-17 | Club Queretaro | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-21 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-01 | Club Queretaro | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 1-2 |
| 2023-02-05 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-28 | Club Queretaro | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2022-01-22 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 22.3%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.45 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.45 | 5.49 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.84 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.54 ▲ +0.18
X
4.20 ▼ -0.70
2
5.49 ▼ -1.56
10 snapshots recorded, from .