Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 9

Club Queretaro vs Leon

1 – 1 Full time

44′Bayron Duarte
45′Jordi CortizoJesús Lara
45′Jose AlvaradoEdgar Guerra
52′Lucas Abascia
54′Daniel Arcila
55′Paulo VictorIker Benito Sánchez
55′Bayron DuarteAlejandro Alcalá Solorio
58′Daniel Parra
60′Iker Benito Sánchez
62′Ali Ávila
63′Ivan Moreno
68′Fernando BeltranSalvador Reyes
68′Sebastián VegasIsmael Díaz
79′Enzo GiménezErik Duenas
80′Carlo GarciaDenilson Muñoz
88′Diber CambindoSantiago Londono
90′Santiago Londono
90′Daniel Arcila
90′Mateo CoronelBernardo Parra

Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago QuerétaroReferee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas

Club Queretaro 37%
Draw 28%
Leon 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
39 Possession % 61
8 Corners 1
15 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 0
6 Saves 3
269 Accurate passes 481

Club Queretaro vs Leon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Queretaro vs Leon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub QueretaroDrawLeon
Model37.6%31.3%31.0%
Market36.6%27.2%36.2%
Final36.9%28.2%34.9%
Edge+1.0%+4.2%-5.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Queretaro ↓ / Leon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 11% 15% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Club Queretaro and Leon expected goals

Club Queretaro 1.19
Leon 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.24

Club Queretaro and Leon attack and defence ratings

Club Queretaro

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Leon

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Club Queretaro vs Leon: result vs prediction

Club Queretaro 1 – 1 Leon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Club Queretaro vs Leon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Queretaro 36.9% 2.71 +1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 53.3% 1.88 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.5% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Queretaro36.9%
Draw28.2%
Leon34.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.0%
Under 2.561.0%
Both teams to scoreYes46.7%
No53.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.1%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)63.1%
Handicap -1Club Queretaro win16.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss62.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.9%
1-011.2%

Club Queretaro vs Leon stats

Club Queretaro and Leon recent form

newest first
Club Queretaro WWLDDL
Leon WLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Queretaro and Leon going into this match

league record before kick-off

Club Queretaro record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Leon record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Club Queretaro vs Leon head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Club Queretaro wins 3Draws 5Leon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-07Club QueretaroLeonLiga MX2-0
2025-08-30LeonClub QueretaroLiga MX3-0
2025-04-05Club QueretaroLeonLiga MX1-1
2024-10-26LeonClub QueretaroLiga MX4-0
2024-04-06LeonClub QueretaroLiga MX0-2
2023-09-30Club QueretaroLeonLiga MX1-1
2023-02-10Club QueretaroLeonLiga MX0-3
2022-09-19LeonClub QueretaroLiga MX3-1
2022-04-03LeonClub QueretaroLiga MX1-1
2021-08-06Club QueretaroLeonLiga MX0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Club Queretaro vs Leon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 27.2%, away 36.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.52 3.36 2.55
Bet365 2.62 3.40 2.62
BetVictor 2.50 3.40 2.55
Betano 2.60 3.45 2.62
Betfair 2.50 3.60 2.50
Marathonbet 2.52 3.36 2.55
Pinnacle 2.63 3.51 2.67
SBO 2.45 3.17 2.46
William Hill 2.45 3.10 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.52 ▲ +0.22
X 3.40 —
2 2.55 ▼ -0.29

12 snapshots recorded, from .