Liga MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 9
Atlas
vs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | Ángel Azuaje | ||
| 35′ | Luis LopesKevin Zenon | ||
| 44′ | Manuel CapassoGaddi Aguirre | ||
| 45′ | Luís André Leite Esteves | ||
| 45′ | Álvaro AnguloPablo Bennevendo | ||
| 45′ | Adonis FríasJorge Rodríguez | ||
| 58′ | Victor ArteagaAdalberto Carrasquilla | ||
| 69′ | Olávio Vieira dos Santos JúnioCesar Huerta | ||
| 81′ | Elías MontielRyan Mmaee | ||
| 81′ | Sergio HernándezEdgar Zaldívar | ||
| 87′ | Carlos AntunaAntonio Leone | ||
| 87′ | Ángel AzuajeAlan Medina | ||
| 87′ | Adalberto Carrasquilla |
Atlas
40%
Draw
29%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
31%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 357 | Accurate passes | 309 |
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
| Probability | Atlas | Draw | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.6% | 27.2% | 25.2% |
| Market | 37.4% | 29.1% | 33.5% |
| Final | 40.0% | 28.6% | 31.4% |
| Edge | +10.2% | -1.8% | -8.3% |
Why Atlas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Atlas below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Atlas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals
Atlas
1.60
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1.11
Total expected goals: 2.71
Atlas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas attack and defence ratings
Atlas
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
1.22 +22%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Attack
0.74 -26%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: result vs prediction
Atlas 1 – 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 9 fixtures
- Puebla v Atlante FC — match page
- FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL — team news & stats
- Atletico San Luis v Necaxa — match page
- Monterrey vs Cruz Azul — team news & stats
- Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas
- Toluca v Santos Laguna — match page
- CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana — team news & stats
- Club Queretaro vs Leon
Before and after this match
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlas | 40.0% | 2.50 | +10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlas | 40.0% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlas win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.5% |
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas stats
Atlas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas recent form
| Atlas |
LDLWWW |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
LWLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas going into this match
Atlas record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Atlas wins
6Draws
3U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Atlas | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Atlas | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-26 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Atlas | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-25 | Atlas | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-15 | Atlas | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Atlas | Liga MX | 3-0 |
| 2023-02-05 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Atlas | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Atlas | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-21 | Atlas | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-06 | Atlas | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 28.7%, away 33.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48 | 3.10 | 2.77 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 3.10 | 2.77 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.29 | 2.90 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.15 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.48 ▼ -0.02
X
3.20 ▲ +0.12
2
2.77 ▼ -0.20
12 snapshots recorded, from .