Garuda Lions
Today
Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 9

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana

2 – 2 Full time

17′Gilberto Mora
33′Ivan Tona
33′Oussama Idrissi
42′Jesus Gomez
45′Rodolfo PizarroAdrián Alcaraz
45′Alan BautistaMauricio Isais
45′Oussama IdrissiJavier Vallejo
55′Salomón Rondón
63′Gilberto MoraJosé Rivero
63′Ramiro ÁrcigaYael Padilla
68′Francisco VenegasGael Álvarez
71′Angel ZapataFrank Boya
74′Yael Padilla
80′Carlos SánchezSebastian Santos
84′Mourad El GhezouaniDiego Fernando Abreu Firenze
84′Jesús VegaPablo Ortíz
90′Salomón Rondón
90′Benjamín Mora Mendívil
90′Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze

Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de SotoReferee: Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina

CF Pachuca 53%
Draw 26%
Club Tijuana 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

29 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 5
58 Possession % 42
10 Corners 0
16 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 2
1 Saves 9
323 Accurate passes 238

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCF PachucaDrawClub Tijuana
Model55.9%27.3%16.8%
Market52.0%25.7%22.3%
Final53.0%26.1%20.9%
Edge+3.9%+1.6%-5.5%

Confidence: Low

Why CF Pachuca

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.77.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices CF Pachuca below the model: +3.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CF Pachuca ↓ / Club Tijuana → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 14% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana expected goals

CF Pachuca 1.60
Club Tijuana 0.77

Total expected goals: 2.37

CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana attack and defence ratings

CF Pachuca

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Club Tijuana

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana: result vs prediction

CF Pachuca 2 – 2 Club Tijuana

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CF Pachuca 53.0% 1.89 +3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.1% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.1% 2.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CF Pachuca53.0%
Draw26.1%
Club Tijuana20.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.1%
Under 2.557.9%
Both teams to scoreYes43.9%
No56.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.1%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)47.0%
Handicap -1CF Pachuca win30.8%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss44.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.8%
1-112.7%
2-012.0%

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana stats

CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana recent form

newest first
CF Pachuca WWDDLW
Club Tijuana LWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana going into this match

league record before kick-off

CF Pachuca record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Club Tijuana record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4CF Pachuca wins 1Draws 5Club Tijuana wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-23Club TijuanaCF PachucaLiga MX3-1
2025-08-17CF PachucaClub TijuanaLiga MX0-2
2025-03-17CF PachucaClub TijuanaLiga MX4-1
2024-10-05Club TijuanaCF PachucaLiga MX2-1
2024-02-04CF PachucaClub TijuanaLiga MX3-2
2023-11-11Club TijuanaCF PachucaLiga MX2-3
2023-02-27Club TijuanaCF PachucaLiga MX2-0
2022-09-12CF PachucaClub TijuanaLiga MX6-1
2022-04-12CF PachucaClub TijuanaLiga MX0-0
2021-11-07Club TijuanaCF PachucaLiga MX3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.0%, draw 25.7%, away 22.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.76 3.65 4.20
Bet365 1.80 3.60 4.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.60 4.20
Betano 1.83 3.90 4.50
Betfair 1.75 3.70 4.33
Marathonbet 1.74 3.65 4.20
Pinnacle 1.84 3.92 4.21
SBO 1.80 3.30 3.74
William Hill 1.75 3.40 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.03
X 3.65 ▼ -0.04
2 4.20 ▲ +0.24

14 snapshots recorded, from .