Puebla
vs
Atlante FC
1 – 1 Full time
| 41′ | Walter Portales | ||
| 45′ | José PachucaIker Moreno | ||
| 45′ | Brayan GarnicaOmar Moreno | ||
| 45′ | Fernando MonarrezOscar Villa | ||
| 47′ | Oscar Villa | ||
| 53′ | Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges | ||
| 72′ | Walter ClarArmando Escobar | ||
| 72′ | Jhojan JulioLuis Puente | ||
| 73′ | Ignacio MaestroL. Hernández | ||
| 78′ | José Daniel González PichardoChristian Bermudez | ||
| 85′ | Mathías Adrián Tomás BorgesHeriberto Jurado | ||
| 90′ | Martín SarrafioreJoaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 6 | Corners | 11 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 377 | Accurate passes | 302 |
Puebla vs Atlante FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Puebla vs Atlante FC
| Probability | Puebla | Draw | Atlante FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.0% | 27.9% | 22.1% |
| Market | 41.6% | 27.4% | 31.0% |
| Final | 43.7% | 27.5% | 28.8% |
| Edge | +8.4% | +0.5% | -8.9% |
Why Puebla
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Puebla below the model: +8.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Puebla and Atlante FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Puebla and Atlante FC attack and defence ratings
Puebla
Atlante FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Puebla vs Atlante FC: result vs prediction
Puebla 1 – 1 Atlante FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Puebla vs Atlante FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puebla | 43.7% | 2.29 | +8.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puebla | 43.7% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Atlante FC | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puebla win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 50.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Puebla vs Atlante FC stats
Puebla and Atlante FC recent form
| Puebla |
LWLWWL |
| Atlante FC |
LDDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Puebla and Atlante FC going into this match
Puebla record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Atlante FC record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puebla vs Atlante FC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-23 | Atlante FC | Puebla | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Puebla vs Atlante FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 27.4%, away 31.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.30 | 3.02 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.55 | 3.09 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 3.18 | 2.86 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .