Atlante FC
vs
Monterrey
4 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | Luis Puente | ||
| 16′ | Juan Carrera | ||
| 18′ | Hugo Cuypers | ||
| 53′ | Luis Calzadilla | ||
| 58′ | Jesús Corona | ||
| 59′ | Jesús CoronaDiego Rossi | ||
| 59′ | Daniel AcevesRoberto de la Rosa | ||
| 64′ | Eduardo Tercero | ||
| 69′ | Lucas OrellanoO. Gálvez | ||
| 69′ | César GarzaUros Djurdjevic | ||
| 73′ | Luis PuenteJoaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa | ||
| 73′ | Martín SarrafioreChristian Bermudez | ||
| 82′ | Walter ClarArmando Escobar | ||
| 82′ | Roberto de la Rosa | ||
| 88′ | Walter PortalesCristóbal Alfaro | ||
| 88′ | Luis CalzadillaMartín Fernández | ||
| 90′ | Óliver Torres | ||
| 90′ | Jhojan Julio | ||
| 90′ | Jhojan Julio |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 283 | Accurate passes | 446 |
Atlante FC vs Monterrey overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlante FC vs Monterrey
| Probability | Atlante FC | Draw | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.0% | 30.9% | 41.1% |
| Market | 28.7% | 25.9% | 45.3% |
| Final | 28.5% | 27.2% | 44.3% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +5.0% | -4.2% |
Why Monterrey
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlante FC and Monterrey expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Atlante FC and Monterrey attack and defence ratings
Atlante FC
Monterrey
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atlante FC vs Monterrey: result vs prediction
Atlante FC 4 – 2 Monterrey
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlante FC vs Monterrey markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monterrey | 44.3% | 2.26 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlante FC | 28.5% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Monterrey | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.7% |
| No | 53.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Monterrey win | 19.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.7% |
Atlante FC vs Monterrey stats
Atlante FC and Monterrey recent form
| Atlante FC |
DLDDLD |
| Monterrey |
WDLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlante FC and Monterrey going into this match
Atlante FC record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monterrey record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Atlante FC vs Monterrey head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Atlante FC | Monterrey | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atlante FC vs Monterrey odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.5%, draw 26.4%, away 45.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.50 | 2.06 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.22 | 3.50 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32 | 3.68 | 2.15 |
| SBO | 3.14 | 3.15 | 1.95 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .