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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 11

Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC

2 – 0 Full time

20′Eugenio Pizzuto
25′Santiago Homenchenko
35′Walter Clar
50′Denilson Muñoz
54′Walter ClarEdgar Jiménez
57′Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre
64′Denilson MuñozBernardo Parra
67′Walter PortalesOctavio Vazquez
71′Juan Carrera
72′Iker Benito SánchezPaulo Victor
73′Mateo CoronelWaldo Madrid
82′Eugenio PizzutoDiogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar
82′Juan CarreraJoaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa
82′Aarón QuirósChristian Bermudez
84′Bernardo Parra
86′Ali ÁvilaEduardo Perez
86′Carlo GarciaJuan Martínez Jr.

Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago QuerétaroReferee: Joaquin Alberto Vizcarra Armenta

Club Queretaro 47%
Draw 28%
Atlante FC 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 9
45 Possession % 55
6 Corners 8
9 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 3
9 Saves 1
292 Accurate passes 416

Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub QueretaroDrawAtlante FC
Model56.0%26.7%17.2%
Market44.1%28.2%27.7%
Final47.1%27.8%25.1%
Edge+3.0%-0.4%-2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Club Queretaro

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Club Queretaro below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Queretaro ↓ / Atlante FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 13% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Club Queretaro and Atlante FC expected goals

Club Queretaro 1.65
Atlante FC 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.46

Club Queretaro and Atlante FC attack and defence ratings

Club Queretaro

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Atlante FC

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC: result vs prediction

Club Queretaro 2 – 0 Atlante FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 11 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Queretaro 47.1% 2.12 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score No 53.9% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.0% 2.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Queretaro47.1%
Draw27.8%
Atlante FC25.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%
Both teams to scoreYes46.1%
No53.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.9%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)52.9%
Handicap -1Club Queretaro win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss44.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.9%
1-112.6%
2-011.6%

Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC stats

Club Queretaro and Atlante FC recent form

newest first
Club Queretaro WDWWLD
Atlante FC WDLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Queretaro and Atlante FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Club Queretaro record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlante FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 28.2%, away 27.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.26 3.50
Bet365 2.10 3.50 3.40
BetVictor 2.10 3.50 3.25
Betano 2.15 3.30 3.45
Betfair 2.05 3.50 3.25
Dafabet 2.20 3.40 3.30
Marathonbet 2.03 3.26 3.48
Pinnacle 2.19 3.28 3.67
SBO 2.12 3.22 3.04
William Hill 2.05 3.25 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▲ +0.10
X 3.29 ▼ -0.07
2 3.35 ▼ -0.12

16 snapshots recorded, from .