Club Queretaro
vs
Atlante FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Queretaro
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC
| Probability | Club Queretaro | Draw | Atlante FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.1% | 26.7% | 17.2% |
| Market | 44.4% | 28.0% | 27.6% |
| Final | 47.3% | 27.7% | 25.0% |
| Edge | +11.7% | -1.3% | -10.4% |
Why Club Queretaro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club Queretaro below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC match preview
Club Queretaro enters the match against Atlante FC with a slight edge, holding a 49% probability of victory compared to Atlante's 24%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Club Queretaro, with a 13% likelihood. In terms of expected goals, Club Queretaro is forecasted to score 1.65, while Atlante FC is expected to net 0.81.
Recent form shows Club Queretaro with a record of W-D-W-W-L-D, indicating a generally positive trend, while Atlante FC has struggled, recording W-D-L-D-D-L. The probabilities suggest a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance for both teams to score, reflecting a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this analysis stands at C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Queretaro and Atlante FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Club Queretaro and Atlante FC attack and defence ratings
Club Queretaro
Atlante FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Queretaro | 47.3% | 2.11 | +11.7% | 2.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Queretaro | 47.3% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Atlante FC | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Queretaro win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 43.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.9% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 11.6% |
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC stats
Club Queretaro and Atlante FC recent form
| Club Queretaro |
WDWWLD |
| Atlante FC |
WDLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Queretaro and Atlante FC season so far
Club Queretaro record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlante FC record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 28.0%, away 27.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.26 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.45 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.26 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.20 | 3.68 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 2.98 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .