Santos Laguna
vs
Club Queretaro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Santos Laguna
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro
| Probability | Santos Laguna | Draw | Club Queretaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.9% | 32.4% | 33.7% |
| Market | 44.5% | 25.7% | 29.8% |
| Final | 41.9% | 27.3% | 30.8% |
| Edge | -10.7% | +6.7% | +3.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro match preview
Santos Laguna faces Club Queretaro in a closely matched Liga MX encounter. According to our model, Santos Laguna has a 38% chance of winning, while Club Queretaro stands at 34%, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Santos Laguna, with an 11% probability. The expected goals are nearly identical, with Santos Laguna at 1.07 and Club Queretaro at 1.06.
Both teams have shown solid recent form, with Santos Laguna recording four wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Club Queretaro has secured four wins and a draw in the same timeframe. In their last two encounters, Santos Laguna has one win and one draw against Club Queretaro, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Santos Laguna and Club Queretaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Santos Laguna and Club Queretaro attack and defence ratings
Santos Laguna
Club Queretaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos Laguna | 41.9% | 2.39 | -10.7% | 2.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos Laguna | 41.9% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Club Queretaro | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santos Laguna win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 66.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-0 | 11.3% |
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro stats
Santos Laguna and Club Queretaro recent form
| Santos Laguna |
WWWWLD |
| Club Queretaro |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santos Laguna and Club Queretaro season so far
Santos Laguna record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Queretaro record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Club Queretaro | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Santos Laguna | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Santos Laguna | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Club Queretaro | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Club Queretaro | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-03 | Santos Laguna | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-24 | Santos Laguna | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 0-2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Club Queretaro | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 3-3 |
| 2022-04-17 | Santos Laguna | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-30 | Club Queretaro | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 25.9%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.62 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.45 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.62 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.79 | 3.40 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 3.19 | 2.51 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .