Atletico San Luis
vs
Club Queretaro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Queretaro
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro
| Probability | Atletico San Luis | Draw | Club Queretaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 27.6% | 44.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.6% | 27.6% | 44.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Club Queretaro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro match preview
Atletico San Luis will host Club Queretaro in a Liga MX matchup, with the model assigning a 28% probability of a win for Atletico San Luis, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 45% likelihood of a victory for Club Queretaro. The expected goals for Atletico San Luis stand at 1.17, while Club Queretaro has a higher expected goals figure of 1.54. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Club Queretaro.
In terms of recent form, Atletico San Luis has recorded two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Club Queretaro has performed better with four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. Additionally, there is a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored, and a 55% chance that both teams will find the net. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico San Luis and Club Queretaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Atletico San Luis and Club Queretaro attack and defence ratings
Atletico San Luis
Club Queretaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Queretaro | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 27.6% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Club Queretaro | 44.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Queretaro win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 55.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro stats
Atletico San Luis and Club Queretaro recent form
| Atletico San Luis |
LWWLLW |
| Club Queretaro |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico San Luis and Club Queretaro season so far
Atletico San Luis record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Club Queretaro record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Atletico San Luis | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Club Queretaro | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.