Atlas
vs
Club America
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club America
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Atlas vs Club America overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlas vs Club America
| Probability | Atlas | Draw | Club America |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 24.5% | 39.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.8% | 24.5% | 39.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Atlas vs Club America match preview
Atlas faces Club America in an upcoming Liga MX match with a kickoff scheduled for October 22, 2026. According to our model, Club America holds a 45% probability of winning, while Atlas has a 31% chance, and a draw sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% likelihood that both teams will score.
Recent form indicates that Atlas has struggled, with their last six matches resulting in two draws, one win, and three losses. Club America has also faced challenges, recording two draws, one win, and three matches without a victory. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one win against the other, highlighting a competitive rivalry.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlas and Club America expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Atlas and Club America attack and defence ratings
Atlas
Club America
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro — team news & stats
- Tigres UANL vs Leon
- Toluca vs Club Tijuana — team news & stats
- Puebla v Monterrey — match page
- Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas — team news & stats
- CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul
Before and after this match
Atlas vs Club America markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlas | 35.8% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Club America | 39.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% |
| No | 32.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Atlas vs Club America stats
Atlas and Club America recent form
| Atlas |
WDWDLD |
| Club America |
DWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlas and Club America season so far
Atlas record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club America record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Atlas vs Club America head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Club America | Atlas | Liga MX | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Atlas | Club America | Liga MX | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.