Santos Laguna
vs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Garuda Lions Prediction: Santos Laguna
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
| Probability | Santos Laguna | Draw | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 25.5% | 22.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.7% | 25.5% | 22.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Santos Laguna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas match preview
Santos Laguna enters this matchup against U.N.A.M. - Pumas with a strong recent form, having won four of their last six matches, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas has struggled, recording only one win in their last six games. According to our model, Santos Laguna has a 55% probability of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1, which has a 10% chance of occurring.
The expected goals for Santos Laguna stand at 1.88, significantly higher than U.N.A.M. - Pumas's 1.07. Additionally, there is a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score 57% of the time. The head-to-head record shows both teams have won one match each in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Santos Laguna and U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Santos Laguna and U.N.A.M. - Pumas attack and defence ratings
Santos Laguna
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos Laguna | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos Laguna | 51.7% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santos Laguna win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas stats
Santos Laguna and U.N.A.M. - Pumas recent form
| Santos Laguna |
WWWWLD |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
WDLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santos Laguna and U.N.A.M. - Pumas season so far
Santos Laguna record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 4-0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Santos Laguna | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.