Atlante FC
vs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atlante FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
| Probability | Atlante FC | Draw | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.9% | 27.3% | 25.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.9% | 27.3% | 25.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atlante FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.13.
Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas match preview
Atlante FC will face U.N.A.M. - Pumas in their upcoming Liga MX match. According to our model, Atlante FC has a 47% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw stands at 27% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 26%. The expected goals for Atlante FC is 1.59 compared to U.N.A.M. - Pumas' 1.13, suggesting a potentially competitive match.
Recent form indicates that Atlante FC has recorded a win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas has experienced two losses, a win, and two draws. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Atlante FC, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas attack and defence ratings
Atlante FC
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlante FC | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlante FC | 46.9% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 25.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlante FC win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas stats
Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas recent form
| Atlante FC |
WDLDDL |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
LDLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas season so far
Atlante FC record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.