Liga MX · 2026-10-17T03:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 12

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

1 – 2 Full time

34′			Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre
34′			Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre
42′			Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior
45′			Luis Calzadilla
47′			Aarón Quirós
63′			Alan MedinaVictor Arteaga
70′			Pablo Bennevendo
71′			Edgar JiménezDiogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar
72′			Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior
76′			Aarón QuirósChristian Bermudez
85′			Olávio Vieira dos Santos JúniorÁlvaro Angulo
86′			Eduardo TerceroJairon Charcopa
86′			Eugenio PizzutoJoaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa
90′			Walter Portales
90′			Carlos AntunaSantiago Lopez

Estadio Azul, Mexico CityReferee: Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre

Atlante FC

37%

Draw

27%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

36%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

16	Shots	6
5	Shots on target	3
54	Possession %	46
10	Corners	0
15	Fouls	11
4	Offsides	2
1	Saves	5
348	Accurate passes	367

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Atlante FC	Draw	U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Model	40.8%	26.8%	32.4%
Market	35.7%	26.7%	37.7%
Final	37.0%	26.7%	36.3%
Edge	+1.3%	+0.0%	-1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

80%

3+ goals

56%

No goals

Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals

Atlante FC

1.56

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

1.37

Total expected goals: 2.93

Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas attack and defence ratings

Atlante FC

Attack

0.76 -24%

Defence

1.15 +15%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Attack

0.96 -4%

Defence

1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: result vs prediction

Atlante FC 1 – 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 12 fixtures

Liga MX

Necaxa v Atlas — match page · 2026-10-17
Club Tijuana vs Puebla — team news & stats · 2026-10-17
Santos Laguna v Club Queretaro — match page · 2026-10-17
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL — team news & stats · 2026-10-17
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis · 2026-10-18
Leon v Club America — match page · 2026-10-18
Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez — team news & stats · 2026-10-18
Monterrey vs CF Pachuca · 2026-10-19

Before and after this match

Atlante FC, previous: Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC prediction
Atlante FC, next: FC Juarez v Atlante FC analysis
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, previous: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul prediction
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, next: Santos Laguna – U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 2026-10-22

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Atlante FC	37.0%	2.70	+1.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.1%	1.78	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	60.1%	1.66	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.3%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	59.3%	1.69	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Atlante FC	37.0%
	Draw	26.7%
	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	36.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.1%
	Under 2.5	43.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	60.1%
	No	39.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	63.7%
	12 (either side)	73.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	63.0%
Handicap -1	Atlante FC win	20.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.9%
	Loss	59.3%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.5%
	2-1	8.9%
	1-2	7.8%

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas stats

Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas recent form

newest first

Atlante FC	LWDLDD
U.N.A.M. - Pumas	DLDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atlante FC record

They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

U.N.A.M. - Pumas record

They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 26.8%, away 36.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.57	3.46	2.45
Bet365	2.70	3.50	2.55
BetVictor	2.60	3.40	2.45
Betano	2.50	3.35	2.75
Betfair	2.45	3.60	2.55
Dafabet	2.50	3.50	2.70
Marathonbet	2.57	3.46	2.45
Pinnacle	2.72	3.53	2.58
SBO	2.47	3.20	2.54
William Hill	2.50	3.10	2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.58 ▲ +0.30

X 3.46 ▲ +0.03

2 2.45 ▼ -0.42

8 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-13T08:10:02Z.