Club Tijuana
vs
Puebla
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Tijuana
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Club Tijuana vs Puebla overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Tijuana vs Puebla
| Probability | Club Tijuana | Draw | Puebla |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.8% | 27.1% | 24.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.8% | 27.1% | 24.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Club Tijuana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Club Tijuana vs Puebla match preview
Club Tijuana faces Puebla in a Liga MX match where the probabilities indicate a slight edge for the home side, with a 49% chance of victory compared to Puebla's 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Club Tijuana recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Puebla has one win and four losses.
In terms of expected goals, Club Tijuana is projected to score 1.62, while Puebla is expected to net 1.07. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 50%, and the probability of both teams scoring is at 54%. Historically, in their last two encounters, Club Tijuana has yet to secure a win against Puebla, with one draw and one loss.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Tijuana and Puebla expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Club Tijuana and Puebla attack and defence ratings
Club Tijuana
Puebla
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Club Tijuana vs Puebla markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Tijuana | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Tijuana | 48.8% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Puebla | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Tijuana win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Club Tijuana vs Puebla stats
Club Tijuana and Puebla recent form
| Club Tijuana |
LDLWLW |
| Puebla |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Tijuana and Puebla season so far
Club Tijuana record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
Puebla record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Club Tijuana vs Puebla head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Club Tijuana | Puebla | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Puebla | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.