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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 12

Club Tijuana vs Puebla

0 – 0 Full time

17′Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges
57′Iker Moreno
58′Jesús VegaUnai Bilbao
58′Ramiro ÁrcigaJoban González Cera
63′L. HernándezEduardo Mustre
63′Iker MorenoJosé Pachuca
66′Rafael Fernández
70′Mourad El GhezouaniElias Manoel
74′Omar MorenoHeriberto Jurado
79′Joban González Cera
85′Mathías Adrián Tomás BorgesIgnacio Maestro
85′Alejandro OrganistaEduardo Armenta
85′José RiveroDiego Abreu

Estadio Caliente , TijuanaReferee: Daniel Quintero Huitron

Club Tijuana 50%
Draw 26%
Puebla 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
58 Possession % 42
13 Corners 3
6 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 3
3 Saves 6
353 Accurate passes 236

Club Tijuana vs Puebla overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Tijuana vs Puebla

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub TijuanaDrawPuebla
Model48.7%27.5%23.8%
Market50.8%25.2%24.0%
Final50.3%25.8%23.9%
Edge-0.5%+0.6%-0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Club Tijuana

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.05.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Tijuana ↓ / Puebla → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Club Tijuana and Puebla expected goals

Club Tijuana 1.58
Puebla 1.05

Total expected goals: 2.63

Club Tijuana and Puebla attack and defence ratings

Club Tijuana

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Puebla

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Club Tijuana vs Puebla: result vs prediction

Club Tijuana 0 – 0 Puebla

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 12 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Club Tijuana vs Puebla markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Tijuana 50.3% 1.99 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.1% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.4% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Tijuana50.3%
Draw25.8%
Puebla23.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.8%
Under 2.551.2%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.1%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)49.7%
Handicap -1Club Tijuana win25.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss51.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
1-010.3%
2-19.5%

Club Tijuana vs Puebla stats

Club Tijuana and Puebla recent form

newest first
Club Tijuana DLDLWL
Puebla DLDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Tijuana and Puebla going into this match

league record before kick-off

Club Tijuana record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).

Puebla record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Club Tijuana vs Puebla head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Club Tijuana wins 3Draws 5Puebla wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-07Club TijuanaPueblaLiga MX0-0
2025-10-18PueblaClub TijuanaLiga MX4-3
2025-02-22PueblaClub TijuanaLiga MX2-0
2024-11-11Club TijuanaPueblaLiga MX2-1
2024-04-20Club TijuanaPueblaLiga MX3-1
2023-09-02PueblaClub TijuanaLiga MX3-0
2023-04-29PueblaClub TijuanaLiga MX5-2
2022-08-13Club TijuanaPueblaLiga MX3-3
2022-01-29PueblaClub TijuanaLiga MX3-1
2021-08-18Club TijuanaPueblaLiga MX1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Club Tijuana vs Puebla odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.3%, draw 25.3%, away 23.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.82 3.68 3.87
Bet365 1.85 3.80 4.10
BetVictor 1.83 3.60 3.80
Betano 1.87 3.65 4.00
Betfair 1.80 3.70 4.00
Dafabet 1.81 3.85 4.30
Marathonbet 1.80 3.68 3.86
Pinnacle 1.87 3.77 4.16
SBO 1.77 3.45 3.98
William Hill 1.80 3.30 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▼ -0.01
X 3.68 ▼ -0.01
2 3.87 ▼ -0.03

12 snapshots recorded, from .