FC Juarez
vs
Club Tijuana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Tijuana
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana
| Probability | FC Juarez | Draw | Club Tijuana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.4% | 26.0% | 41.6% |
| Market | 32.0% | 27.5% | 40.4% |
| Final | 32.1% | 27.2% | 40.7% |
| Edge | +0.4% | -1.5% | +1.2% |
Why Club Tijuana
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana match preview
In the upcoming Liga MX match between FC Juarez and Club Tijuana, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Club Tijuana favored at 41%, while FC Juarez stands at 32% and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Club Tijuana, reflecting their recent form which includes two wins in their last six matches.
Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoring, with a 62% likelihood for both teams to score and an overall 59% chance for over 2.5 goals. FC Juarez has struggled recently with five losses in their last six games, while Club Tijuana has shown some resilience with a win in their latest outing. The expected goals are 1.43 for FC Juarez and 1.64 for Club Tijuana, suggesting a closely contested match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Juarez and Club Tijuana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
FC Juarez and Club Tijuana attack and defence ratings
FC Juarez
Club Tijuana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Tijuana | 40.7% | 2.46 | +1.2% | 2.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Juarez | 32.1% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Club Tijuana | 40.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% |
| No | 37.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Tijuana win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana stats
FC Juarez and Club Tijuana recent form
| FC Juarez |
LWLLLL |
| Club Tijuana |
LDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Juarez and Club Tijuana season so far
FC Juarez record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Tijuana record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | FC Juarez | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-21 | Club Tijuana | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Club Tijuana | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Club Tijuana | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-07 | FC Juarez | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-15 | FC Juarez | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Club Tijuana | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 5-1 |
| 2023-01-15 | FC Juarez | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 3-0 |
| 2022-07-09 | Club Tijuana | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 0-2 |
| 2022-03-21 | Club Tijuana | FC Juarez | Liga MX | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 27.5%, away 40.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.25 | 2.32 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.45 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.32 |
| Marathonbet | 2.91 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.99 | 3.38 | 2.38 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.10 | 2.13 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .