Liga MX · 2026-10-12T01:15:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 11

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul

3 – 3 Full time

10′			Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio
16′			Cesar Huerta
26′			Cesar Huerta
30′			Agustín Palavecino
37′			Cesar Huerta
45′			Agustín Palavecino
45′			Jorge RodarteAndrés Montaño
45′			Olávio Vieira dos Santos JúnioAlan Medina
49′			Robert Morales
64′			Andrés Montaño
65′			Adalberto CarrasquillaAntonio Leone
66′			Rodrigo LópezVictor Arteaga
69′			Ángel MárquezOsinachi Ebere
69′			Nathanael AnaniasÁngel Azuaje
77′			Pedro ViteLuciano Herrera
82′			Willer DittaAlan Mozo
82′			Gabriel FernándezJuan José Calero Sierra
85′			Osinachi Ebere
87′			Carlos RodriguezLuka Romero

Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico CityReferee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

29%

Draw

26%

Cruz Azul

45%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

9	Shots	30
5	Shots on target	6
32	Possession %	68
4	Corners	6
5	Fouls	11
2	Offsides	3
3	Saves	2
174	Accurate passes	452

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul overview

Garuda Lions analysis: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Draw	Cruz Azul
Model	34.0%	26.0%	40.0%
Market	27.4%	25.8%	46.8%
Final	29.1%	25.9%	45.1%
Edge	+1.6%	+0.0%	-1.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cruz Azul

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

82%

3+ goals

60%

No goals

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Cruz Azul expected goals

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

1.47

Cruz Azul

1.62

Total expected goals: 3.09

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Cruz Azul attack and defence ratings

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Attack

0.82 -18%

Defence

1.12 +12%

Cruz Azul

Attack

1.15 +15%

Defence

1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul: result vs prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 – 3 Cruz Azul

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 11 fixtures

Liga MX

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Tigres UANL vs Toluca · 2026-10-10
Club Queretaro v Atlante FC — match page · 2026-10-10
FC Juarez v Club Tijuana — match page · 2026-10-10
Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Club America vs Monterrey · 2026-10-11
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
CF Pachuca v Necaxa — match page · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

U.N.A.M. - Pumas, previous: U.N.A.M. - Pumas – Atletico San Luis, 2026-09-27
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, next: Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: odds and pick
Cruz Azul, previous: Cruz Azul vs Toluca prediction
Cruz Azul, next: Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Cruz Azul	45.1%	2.22	-1.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	59.7%	1.68	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	62.9%	1.59	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.1%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	59.9%	1.67	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	29.1%
	Draw	25.9%
	Cruz Azul	45.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	59.7%
	Under 2.5	40.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	62.9%
	No	37.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	54.9%
	12 (either side)	74.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	70.9%
Handicap -1	Cruz Azul win	20.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.3%
	Loss	59.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.9%
	1-2	8.7%
	2-1	8.0%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul stats

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Cruz Azul recent form

newest first

U.N.A.M. - Pumas	LDLWLD
Cruz Azul	DLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Cruz Azul going into this match

league record before kick-off

U.N.A.M. - Pumas record

They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cruz Azul record

They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 4Draws 5Cruz Azul wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-25	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Cruz Azul	Liga MX	1-2
2026-05-22	Cruz Azul	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Liga MX	0-0
2026-03-15	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Cruz Azul	Liga MX	2-2
2025-11-09	Cruz Azul	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Liga MX	2-3
2025-10-11	Cruz Azul	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Friendlies Clubs	2-0
2025-04-06	Cruz Azul	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Liga MX	3-2
2024-10-27	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Cruz Azul	Liga MX	0-2
2024-05-13	Cruz Azul	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Liga MX	2-2
2024-05-10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Cruz Azul	Liga MX	0-2
2024-03-31	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	Cruz Azul	Liga MX	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 25.8%, away 46.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	3.44	3.52	1.98
Bet365	3.60	3.70	2.00
BetVictor	3.30	3.60	2.00
Betano	3.45	3.65	2.02
Betfair	3.30	3.80	1.95
Dafabet	3.40	3.70	2.06
Marathonbet	3.42	3.52	1.96
Pinnacle	3.61	3.66	2.04
SBO	3.02	3.26	2.04
William Hill	3.25	3.25	1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.41 ▲ +0.17

X 3.62 —

2 2.00 ▼ -0.05

18 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-03T08:10:03Z.