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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 10

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis

2 – 3 Full time

23′Sebastien Salles-lamonge
45′Oscar Macias
45′Cesar Huerta
52′Rodrigo López
55′David Rodriguez
60′Israel LunaKléber Carranza
64′Felipe MoraLeonardo Flores
67′Pablo BennevendoAlan Medina
79′Sebastien Salles-lamonge
80′David RodriguezSebastián Pérez Bouquet
80′Rafael LlorenteRoberto Meraz
83′Rodrigo LópezAntonio Leone
85′Román Torres
88′Sebastien Salles-lamongeBenjamín Galdames
88′Anderson DuarteJohan Caicedo
90′Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio

Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico CityReferee: Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 47%
Draw 27%
Atletico San Luis 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
54 Possession % 46
11 Corners 2
12 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 3
4 Saves 4
317 Accurate passes 280

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis overview

Garuda Lions analysis: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityU.N.A.M. - PumasDrawAtletico San Luis
Model46.6%27.1%26.3%
Market46.9%26.5%26.5%
Final46.8%26.7%26.5%
Edge-0.3%+0.6%-0.2%

Confidence: Low

Why U.N.A.M. - Pumas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.15.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

U.N.A.M. - Pum ↓ / Atletico San L → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Atletico San Luis expected goals

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.60
Atletico San Luis 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.76

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Atletico San Luis attack and defence ratings

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Atletico San Luis

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis: result vs prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 – 3 Atletico San Luis

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 46.8% 2.14 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.9% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2U.N.A.M. - Pumas46.8%
Draw26.7%
Atletico San Luis26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.0%
Under 2.548.0%
Both teams to scoreYes55.9%
No44.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)53.2%
Handicap -1U.N.A.M. - Pumas win24.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-19.4%
1-09.0%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis stats

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Atletico San Luis recent form

newest first
U.N.A.M. - Pumas DLWLDD
Atletico San Luis WLLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Atletico San Luis going into this match

league record before kick-off

U.N.A.M. - Pumas record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico San Luis record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 0Draws 5Atletico San Luis wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Atletico San LuisU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX0-2
2025-10-23U.N.A.M. - PumasAtletico San LuisLiga MX0-1
2025-02-03Atletico San LuisU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX2-3
2024-10-20U.N.A.M. - PumasAtletico San LuisLiga MX3-0
2024-01-20Atletico San LuisU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX3-1
2023-09-17U.N.A.M. - PumasAtletico San LuisLiga MX3-2
2023-04-09U.N.A.M. - PumasAtletico San LuisLiga MX3-1
2022-08-19Atletico San LuisU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX3-2
2022-04-21Atletico San LuisU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX2-0
2021-08-08U.N.A.M. - PumasAtletico San LuisLiga MX1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 26.5%, away 26.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.98 3.46 3.50
Bet365 2.00 3.50 3.70
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.50
Betano 1.98 3.65 3.60
Betfair 1.91 3.70 3.50
Marathonbet 1.96 3.46 3.48
Pinnacle 2.04 3.70 3.64
SBO 1.98 3.26 3.17
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.98 ▲ +0.04
X 3.50 ▼ -0.10
2 3.50 ▼ -0.04

14 snapshots recorded, from .