Liga MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 10
Necaxa
vs
Club America
2 – 4 Full time
| 33′ | Erick Sánchez | ||
| 37′ | Owen González | ||
| 39′ | Henry Martin | ||
| 43′ | Julián Carranza | ||
| 45′ | Henry Martin | ||
| 56′ | Miguel Borja | ||
| 62′ | Raúl Martínez | ||
| 63′ | Carlos VargasMauro Zaleta | ||
| 63′ | Owen GonzálezJavier Ruiz | ||
| 72′ | Matias EspindolaJuan Torres | ||
| 72′ | Raúl MartínezKevin Ante | ||
| 75′ | Henry Martin | ||
| 75′ | Carlos ÁlvarezAlexis Gutierrez | ||
| 75′ | Miguel Borjaalejandro cardenas | ||
| 75′ | Edwin CerrilloÍcaro Da Conceição | ||
| 82′ | Miguel RodriguezJuan Valencia | ||
| 82′ | Álex ZendejasDerek Ramses Jimenez | ||
| 82′ | Dagoberto EspinozaKevin Alvarez | ||
| 87′ | Diego Ochoa | ||
| 90′ | Javier Ruiz | ||
| 90′ | Cristian Borja |
Necaxa
25%
Draw
26%
Club America
49%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 367 | Accurate passes | 308 |
Necaxa vs Club America overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Necaxa vs Club America
| Probability | Necaxa | Draw | Club America |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.5% | 24.1% | 54.4% |
| Market | 26.1% | 26.1% | 47.7% |
| Final | 25.0% | 25.6% | 49.4% |
| Edge | -4.7% | -2.0% | +6.7% |
Why Club America
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club America below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
6%
Necaxa and Club America expected goals
Necaxa
1.15
Club America
1.93
Total expected goals: 3.08
Necaxa and Club America attack and defence ratings
Necaxa
Attack
0.74 -26%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Club America
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Necaxa vs Club America: result vs prediction
Necaxa 2 – 4 Club America
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
- Atlante FC v Monterrey — match page
- Club Tijuana vs Atlas — team news & stats
- Cruz Azul vs Toluca
- Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro
- Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca — team news & stats
- Tigres UANL v Puebla — match page
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Atletico San Luis — match page
- Leon vs FC Juarez — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Necaxa vs Club America markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 49.4% | 2.02 | +6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Necaxa | 25.0% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Club America | 49.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.5% |
Necaxa vs Club America stats
Necaxa and Club America recent form
| Necaxa |
LLDLDL |
| Club America |
DLLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Necaxa and Club America going into this match
Necaxa record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club America record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Necaxa vs Club America head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Necaxa wins
4Draws
5Club America wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Club America | Necaxa | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Necaxa | Club America | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Club America | Necaxa | Liga MX | 2-3 |
| 2024-09-22 | Necaxa | Club America | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Necaxa | Club America | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-24 | Club America | Necaxa | Liga MX | 3-2 |
| 2023-02-11 | Club America | Necaxa | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-16 | Club America | Necaxa | Copa por México | 3-3 |
| 2022-09-11 | Necaxa | Club America | Liga MX | 1-2 |
| 2022-04-03 | Necaxa | Club America | Liga MX | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Necaxa vs Club America odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.1%, draw 26.1%, away 47.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.56 | 3.56 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 4.00 | 3.65 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 3.55 | 3.56 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.65 | 3.79 | 1.99 |
| SBO | 3.16 | 3.26 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.56 ▼ -0.21
X
3.56 ▼ -0.13
2
1.95 ▲ +0.11
12 snapshots recorded, from .