Liga MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 9
Club America
vs
Guadalajara Chivas
2 – 2 Full time
| 32′ | Bryan Gonzalez | ||
| 45′ | Miguel Vazquez | ||
| 50′ | Daniel Aguirre | ||
| 52′ | Alan CervantesErick Sánchez | ||
| 52′ | Álex ZendejasOscar Andres Perea Abonce | ||
| 57′ | Bryan GonzalezEfrain Alvarez | ||
| 64′ | Ricardo MarínÁngel Sepúlveda | ||
| 66′ | Raphael VeigaMiguel Borja | ||
| 71′ | Miguel Borja | ||
| 74′ | Miguel Borja | ||
| 76′ | Santiago SandovalLuis Rey | ||
| 76′ | Richard LedezmaJonathan Perez | ||
| 76′ | Daniel AguirreHugo Camberos | ||
| 85′ | Hugo Camberos | ||
| 86′ | Henry MartinCarlos Álvarez | ||
| 87′ | Dagoberto EspinozaEdwin Cerrillo | ||
| 90′ | Cristian Borja | ||
| 90′ | Fernando González |
Club America
37%
Draw
27%
Guadalajara Chivas
36%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 425 | Accurate passes | 333 |
Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas
| Probability | Club America | Draw | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 27.0% | 33.3% |
| Market | 36.0% | 26.9% | 37.1% |
| Final | 36.9% | 27.0% | 36.1% |
| Edge | +3.7% | +0.1% | -3.8% |
Why Club America
- The market prices Club America below the model: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
Club America and Guadalajara Chivas expected goals
Club America
1.52
Guadalajara Chivas
1.38
Total expected goals: 2.90
Club America and Guadalajara Chivas attack and defence ratings
Club America
Attack
1.31 +31%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas: result vs prediction
Club America 2 – 2 Guadalajara Chivas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 36.9% | 2.71 | +3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 36.9% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas stats
Club America and Guadalajara Chivas recent form
| Club America |
LLDWWW |
| Guadalajara Chivas |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club America and Guadalajara Chivas going into this match
Club America record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Guadalajara Chivas record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Club America wins
3Draws
3Guadalajara Chivas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club America | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Club America | Guadalajara Chivas | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Club America | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-13 | Club America | Guadalajara Chivas | CONCACAF Champions League | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club America | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-06 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club America | CONCACAF Champions League | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-14 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club America | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-15 | Club America | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Club America | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-16 | Guadalajara Chivas | Club America | Liga MX | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club America vs Guadalajara Chivas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 26.9%, away 37.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.44 | 2.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.44 | 2.47 |
| Pinnacle | 2.63 | 3.72 | 2.56 |
| SBO | 2.59 | 3.19 | 2.44 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.56 ▲ +0.14
X
3.42 ▲ +0.10
2
2.49 ▼ -0.28
12 snapshots recorded, from .