Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Cruz Azul vs Club America

4 – 3 Full time

19′Erik Lira
29′Dagoberto EspinozaCristian Borja
35′José Paradela
45′Jesús Orozco
45′Jesús Orozco
45′Raphael Veiga
45′Nicolás Ibañez
45′Alan Cervantes
45′Isaias ViolanteÁlex Zendejas
45′Erick SánchezÍcaro Da Conceição
52′Brian Rodríguez
57′Omar CamposCarlos Rotondi
57′Nicolás IbañezGabriel Fernández
60′Erik Lira
63′Ángel Márquez
69′Ángel MárquezAlan Mozo
70′Raphael VeigaOscar Andres Perea Abonce
72′Gabriel Fernández
78′Henry MartinMiguel Borja
78′Agustín PalavecinoOsinachi Ebere
78′Amaury GarcíaGonzalo Piovi
90′Oscar Andres Perea Abonce
90′Miguel Borja
90′José Paradela

Estadio Banorte, Mexico CityReferee: Luis Santander, Mexico

Cruz Azul 33%
Draw 28%
Club America 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 28
10 Shots on target 10
43 Possession % 57
6 Corners 9
10 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
7 Saves 6
278 Accurate passes 393

Cruz Azul vs Club America overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cruz Azul vs Club America

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCruz AzulDrawClub America
Model32.5%29.4%38.1%
Market33.7%27.3%39.0%
Final33.4%27.8%38.8%
Edge-1.1%+2.0%-0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Club America

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cruz Azul ↓ / Club America → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Cruz Azul and Club America expected goals

Cruz Azul 1.20
Club America 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.52

Cruz Azul and Club America attack and defence ratings

Cruz Azul

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Club America

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cruz Azul vs Club America: result vs prediction

Cruz Azul 4 – 3 Club America

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Cruz Azul vs Club America markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club America 38.8% 2.58 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.5% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.0% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cruz Azul33.4%
Draw27.8%
Club America38.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.2%
Under 2.553.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.5%
No47.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.2%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)66.6%
Handicap -1Club America win17.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss62.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-19.3%
0-09.3%

Cruz Azul vs Club America stats

Cruz Azul and Club America recent form

newest first
Cruz Azul WWLLLW
Club America LDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cruz Azul and Club America going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cruz Azul record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.

Club America record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Cruz Azul vs Club America head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Cruz Azul wins 4Draws 2Club America wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Club AmericaCruz AzulLiga MX1-1
2025-10-19Cruz AzulClub AmericaLiga MX2-1
2025-05-19Club AmericaCruz AzulLiga MX2-1
2025-05-16Cruz AzulClub AmericaLiga MX1-0
2025-04-13Club AmericaCruz AzulLiga MX0-0
2025-04-09Cruz AzulClub AmericaCONCACAF Champions League2-1
2025-04-02Club AmericaCruz AzulCONCACAF Champions League0-0
2024-12-09Cruz AzulClub AmericaLiga MX3-4
2024-12-06Club AmericaCruz AzulLiga MX0-0
2024-09-01Cruz AzulClub AmericaLiga MX4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cruz Azul vs Club America odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 27.1%, away 39.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.56 3.45 2.56
1xBet 2.76 3.38 2.38
888Sport 2.80 3.10 2.20
Bet365 2.80 3.50 2.45
BetVictor 2.70 3.40 2.38
Betano 2.80 3.45 2.42
Betfair 2.75 3.50 2.30
Dafabet 2.95 3.55 2.34
Marathonbet 2.76 3.38 2.38
Pinnacle 2.83 3.59 2.46
SBO 2.73 3.21 2.32
Superbet 2.92 3.45 2.32
Unibet 2.75 3.30 2.35
William Hill 2.62 3.20 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.76 ▲ +0.70
X 3.40 ▲ +0.02
2 2.38 ▼ -0.97

12 snapshots recorded, from .