Liga MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 7
Cruz Azul
vs
Santos Laguna
1 – 0 Full time
| 50′ | Aldo Lopez | ||
| 61′ | Luka RomeroJosé Paradela | ||
| 61′ | Rogelio Andrés González RománAlan Mozo | ||
| 61′ | L. GómezEsteban Lozano | ||
| 79′ | Nicolás IbañezGabriel Fernández | ||
| 79′ | Ángel MárquezErik Lira | ||
| 84′ | Diego GonzálezEmmanuel Echeverria | ||
| 84′ | Ezequiel BullaudeEduardo Aguirre | ||
| 84′ | Aldo LopezFrancisco Villalba | ||
| 87′ | Kevin PalaciosRamiro Sordo | ||
| 87′ | Carlos RodriguezAndrés Montaño | ||
| 89′ | José Paradela |
Cruz Azul
67%
Draw
20%
Santos Laguna
14%
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 506 | Accurate passes | 301 |
Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna
| Probability | Cruz Azul | Draw | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.9% | 23.6% | 15.5% |
| Market | 68.9% | 18.2% | 12.9% |
| Final | 66.9% | 19.6% | 13.6% |
| Edge | -7.9% | +5.4% | +2.5% |
Why Cruz Azul
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna expected goals
Cruz Azul
1.92
Santos Laguna
0.87
Total expected goals: 2.79
Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna attack and defence ratings
Cruz Azul
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Santos Laguna
Attack
0.72 -28%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna: result vs prediction
Cruz Azul 1 – 0 Santos Laguna
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
- FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca — team news & stats
- Atletico San Luis v Guadalajara Chivas — match page
- Tigres UANL vs Necaxa — team news & stats
- Atlas v Atlante FC — match page
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon — team news & stats
- Puebla v Toluca — match page
- Club America vs Club Tijuana
- Club Queretaro vs Monterrey
Before and after this match
Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruz Azul | 66.9% | 1.50 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruz Azul | 66.9% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Santos Laguna | 13.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cruz Azul win | 37.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 39.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-0 | 11.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna stats
Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna recent form
| Cruz Azul |
WLLLWW |
| Santos Laguna |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna going into this match
Cruz Azul record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Santos Laguna record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Cruz Azul wins
2Draws
3Santos Laguna wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Santos Laguna | Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Cruz Azul | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 3-2 |
| 2025-02-20 | Santos Laguna | Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Cruz Azul | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Santos Laguna | Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 3-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Cruz Azul | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-30 | Cruz Azul | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 3-2 |
| 2022-08-07 | Santos Laguna | Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 4-0 |
| 2022-02-28 | Cruz Azul | Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-01 | Santos Laguna | Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.6%, draw 18.7%, away 13.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.39 | 4.75 | 7.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 5.25 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.85 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.41 | 7.43 |
| SBO | 1.37 | 4.32 | 5.42 |
| Superbet | 1.41 | 5.15 | 6.20 |
| Unibet | 1.38 | 4.80 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.35 ▼ -0.02
X
5.12 ▲ +0.17
2
7.21 ▲ +0.13
15 snapshots recorded, from .