Club Queretaro
vs
Monterrey
Garuda Lions Prediction: Monterrey
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Club Queretaro vs Monterrey overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Queretaro vs Monterrey
| Probability | Club Queretaro | Draw | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 26.2% | 29.7% |
| Market | 28.8% | 25.8% | 45.3% |
| Final | 32.6% | 25.9% | 41.4% |
| Edge | +15.3% | +0.4% | -15.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.13, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Club Queretaro vs Monterrey match preview
In the upcoming Liga MX match, Club Queretaro will host Monterrey. The model indicates a 33% chance of a Club Queretaro victory, while Monterrey has a 41% probability of winning, and a draw stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 7% probability. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is at 57%, and both teams are projected to score in 61% of the scenarios.
Recent form shows Club Queretaro with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Monterrey has one win, two draws, and three losses in the same timeframe. In their last 10 encounters, Club Queretaro has secured 1 win, Monterrey has 6 wins, and there have been 3 draws. The confidence grade for this match is C, blending model probabilities with market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Queretaro and Monterrey expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Club Queretaro and Monterrey attack and defence ratings
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Club Queretaro vs Monterrey markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monterrey | 41.4% | 2.41 | -15.7% | 2.13 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Queretaro | 32.6% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Monterrey | 41.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Monterrey win | 7.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.6% | |
| Loss | 78.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Club Queretaro vs Monterrey stats
Club Queretaro and Monterrey recent form
| Club Queretaro |
WDWWLD |
| Monterrey |
LWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Queretaro and Monterrey season so far
Club Queretaro record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monterrey record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Club Queretaro vs Monterrey head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Monterrey | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 4-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Club Queretaro | Monterrey | Liga MX | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Club Queretaro | Monterrey | Liga MX | 2-4 |
| 2024-07-21 | Monterrey | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2024-01-25 | Monterrey | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Club Queretaro | Monterrey | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-16 | Monterrey | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-22 | Club Queretaro | Monterrey | Liga MX | 0-3 |
| 2022-01-09 | Monterrey | Club Queretaro | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-19 | Club Queretaro | Monterrey | Liga MX | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Queretaro vs Monterrey odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 25.8%, away 45.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.02 |
| 1xBet | 3.23 | 3.54 | 2.08 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.13 |
| Marathonbet | 3.22 | 3.56 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24 | 3.69 | 2.12 |
| SBO | 2.95 | 3.20 | 2.01 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.07 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .