Liga MX
·
Full time
·Apertura - 7
Atletico San Luis
vs
Guadalajara Chivas
0 – 3 Full time
| 6′ | Andrés Sánchez | ||
| 10′ | Ricardo Marín | ||
| 30′ | Anderson DuarteLucas Esteves | ||
| 33′ | Andrés SánchezManuel Lajud | ||
| 45′ | Johan Caicedo | ||
| 45′ | Johan CaicedoLeonardo Flores | ||
| 61′ | Hugo CamberosRichard Ledezma | ||
| 61′ | Ángel SepúlvedaEfrain Alvarez | ||
| 71′ | Miguel GarcíaSebastián Pérez Bouquet | ||
| 71′ | David RodriguezLuis Ronaldo Najera Reyna | ||
| 71′ | Santiago SandovalLuis Rey | ||
| 71′ | Daniel AguirreKevin Castañeda | ||
| 79′ | Fernando GonzálezBrian Gutierrez | ||
| 80′ | Richard Ledezma |
Atletico San Luis
25%
Draw
26%
Guadalajara Chivas
50%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 457 | Accurate passes | 472 |
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
| Probability | Atletico San Luis | Draw | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.2% | 27.3% | 41.5% |
| Market | 22.6% | 25.1% | 52.3% |
| Final | 24.8% | 25.6% | 49.6% |
| Edge | +8.6% | +2.2% | -10.8% |
Why Guadalajara Chivas
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas expected goals
Atletico San Luis
1.30
Guadalajara Chivas
1.53
Total expected goals: 2.84
Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas attack and defence ratings
Atletico San Luis
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas: result vs prediction
Atletico San Luis 0 – 3 Guadalajara Chivas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 49.6% | 2.02 | -10.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 24.8% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 49.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guadalajara Chivas win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 0-1 | 7.8% |
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas stats
Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas recent form
| Atletico San Luis |
WDLDLL |
| Guadalajara Chivas |
DWWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas going into this match
Atletico San Luis record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Guadalajara Chivas record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Atletico San Luis wins
2Draws
4Guadalajara Chivas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Atletico San Luis | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-26 | Guadalajara Chivas | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 4-3 |
| 2025-02-27 | Atletico San Luis | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Guadalajara Chivas | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 0-1 |
| 2024-02-05 | Atletico San Luis | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-09 | Guadalajara Chivas | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 3-1 |
| 2023-01-14 | Atletico San Luis | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-10 | Guadalajara Chivas | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-03 | Atletico San Luis | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2021-07-25 | Guadalajara Chivas | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.6%, draw 24.9%, away 52.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.30 | 3.85 | 1.74 |
| 1xBet | 4.14 | 3.72 | 1.78 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.75 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 3.80 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.85 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | 4.15 | 3.72 | 1.76 |
| Pinnacle | 4.23 | 3.95 | 1.83 |
| SBO | 3.76 | 3.47 | 1.68 |
| Superbet | 4.10 | 3.75 | 1.82 |
| Unibet | 3.95 | 3.65 | 1.78 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.14 ▲ +0.17
X
3.74 ▲ +0.01
2
1.79 ▼ -0.01
13 snapshots recorded, from .