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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 7

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon

3 – 1 Full time

22′Cristian CalderonÁngel Azuaje
23′Ángel Azuaje
43′Juan Dominguez
45′Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio
45′Juan DominguezDiber Cambindo
53′Jose Alvarado
61′Jose RodriguezRodrigo Echeverría
65′Carlos AntunaAlan Medina
70′Robert Morales
71′Jose AlvaradoFernando Beltran
71′Christopher MoraSalvador Reyes
74′Victor ArteagaIsrael Luna
74′Olávio Vieira dos Santos JúnioAdalberto Carrasquilla
74′Rodrigo LópezJesús Rivas
87′Pedro Vite
90′Luciano Herrera

Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico CityReferee: Salvador Perez Villalobos, Mexico

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 41%
Draw 27%
Leon 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
42 Possession % 58
8 Corners 2
13 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
279 Accurate passes 422

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityU.N.A.M. - PumasDrawLeon
Model26.4%31.0%42.6%
Market45.6%25.9%28.5%
Final40.8%27.2%32.1%
Edge-19.2%+5.1%+14.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

U.N.A.M. - Pum ↓ / Leon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 12% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Leon expected goals

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0.95
Leon 1.28

Total expected goals: 2.23

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Leon attack and defence ratings

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Leon

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon: result vs prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 – 1 Leon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 40.8% 2.45 -19.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.6% 1.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2U.N.A.M. - Pumas40.8%
Draw27.2%
Leon32.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.5%
Under 2.561.5%
Both teams to scoreYes45.6%
No54.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.9%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)59.2%
Handicap -1U.N.A.M. - Pumas win9.8%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss73.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-112.4%
0-012.1%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon stats

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Leon recent form

newest first
U.N.A.M. - Pumas LDDDLL
Leon WLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Leon going into this match

league record before kick-off

U.N.A.M. - Pumas record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Leon record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 4Draws 0Leon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-18U.N.A.M. - PumasLeonLiga MX1-1
2025-10-26LeonU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX1-1
2025-03-31LeonU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX1-2
2024-07-07U.N.A.M. - PumasLeonLiga MX4-1
2024-04-15U.N.A.M. - PumasLeonLiga MX1-0
2023-11-01LeonU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX1-1
2023-01-22U.N.A.M. - PumasLeonLiga MX4-1
2022-07-10LeonU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX3-3
2022-02-13U.N.A.M. - PumasLeonLiga MX2-1
2021-10-21LeonU.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.3%, draw 26.3%, away 28.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.10 3.55 3.20
1xBet 2.04 3.60 3.27
888Sport 2.00 3.20 3.10
Bet365 2.10 3.60 3.40
BetVictor 2.05 3.50 3.20
Betano 2.07 3.50 3.40
Betfair 2.05 3.70 3.10
Dafabet 2.11 3.60 3.35
Marathonbet 2.02 3.60 3.26
Pinnacle 2.10 3.67 3.44
SBO 2.04 3.23 3.04
Superbet 2.10 3.50 3.35
Unibet 1.97 3.50 3.40
William Hill 2.00 3.20 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.04 —
X 3.60 ▲ +0.08
2 3.26 ▼ -0.06

23 snapshots recorded, from .