Club America
vs
Club Tijuana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club America
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Club America vs Club Tijuana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club America vs Club Tijuana
| Probability | Club America | Draw | Club Tijuana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.1% | 19.8% | 11.1% |
| Market | 59.1% | 23.3% | 17.6% |
| Final | 61.6% | 22.4% | 16.0% |
| Edge | +10.1% | -3.5% | -6.5% |
Why Club America
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 1.11.
- The market prices Club America below the model: +10.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Club America vs Club Tijuana match preview
In the upcoming Liga MX match, Club America hosts Club Tijuana with a kickoff set for October 29, 2026. Club America holds a strong probability of winning at 62%, while the chances for a draw stand at 22% and Club Tijuana at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with an expected goals metric of 2.05 for Club America compared to 0.95 for Club Tijuana.
Recent form shows Club America with two losses followed by three wins, while Club Tijuana has struggled, recording two wins in their last six matches. Historically, Club America has dominated their recent encounters, winning five of the last ten meetings, with Club Tijuana securing just one victory. The probabilities indicate a solid expectation for goals, with a 59% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 50% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club America and Club Tijuana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.70
Club America and Club Tijuana attack and defence ratings
Club America
Club Tijuana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Club America vs Club Tijuana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 61.6% | 1.62 | +10.1% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 61.6% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Club Tijuana | 16.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 47.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 31.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Club America vs Club Tijuana stats
Club America and Club Tijuana recent form
| Club America |
WDLLDW |
| Club Tijuana |
LDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club America and Club Tijuana season so far
Club America record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Club Tijuana record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
Club America vs Club Tijuana head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Club Tijuana | Club America | Liga MX | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Club America | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 3-1 |
| 2025-01-17 | Club America | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-22 | Club Tijuana | Club America | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-24 | Club Tijuana | Club America | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2024-01-14 | Club Tijuana | Club America | Liga MX | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-05 | Club America | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 3-0 |
| 2023-03-26 | Club America | Club Tijuana | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-20 | Club America | Club Tijuana | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-24 | Club Tijuana | Club America | Liga MX | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club America vs Club Tijuana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 23.3%, away 17.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 4.00 | 5.47 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.05 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.08 | 5.27 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 3.65 | 4.82 |
| Unibet | 1.54 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .