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Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 7

FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca

0 – 2 Full time

20′Denzell Garcia
27′Jesus Murillo
42′Eder Lopez
50′Javier Aquino
53′Salomón Rondón
56′Eder LopezGuilherme Castilho
63′Rodrigo Dourado
65′Elías MontielAndrés Arroyo
65′Oussama IdrissiJavier Vallejo
70′Rodrigo DouradoMonchu
70′Javier AquinoMadson de Souza Silva
70′Denzell GarciaFrancisco Nevarez
71′Robert NunesAlan Bautista
77′Christian Rivera
80′Salomón RondónAdrián Alcaraz
80′Sergio RodríguezRodolfo Pizarro
83′Ían TorresLuca Dupuy
85′Sergio Barreto
87′Carlos Sánchez
88′Manuel Mayorga
90′Francisco Venegas
90′Alan Bautista

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad JuarezReferee: Katia García, Mexico

FC Juarez 26%
Draw 27%
CF Pachuca 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
1 Corners 3
17 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 2
2 Saves 1
374 Accurate passes 336

FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC JuarezDrawCF Pachuca
Model26.4%26.5%47.1%
Market25.8%27.3%46.9%
Final25.9%27.1%46.9%
Edge+0.6%-0.8%+0.2%

Confidence: Low

Why CF Pachuca

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.20.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Juarez ↓ / CF Pachuca → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

FC Juarez and CF Pachuca expected goals

FC Juarez 1.20
CF Pachuca 1.66

Total expected goals: 2.86

FC Juarez and CF Pachuca attack and defence ratings

FC Juarez

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.65 +65%

CF Pachuca

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca: result vs prediction

FC Juarez 0 – 2 CF Pachuca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CF Pachuca 46.9% 2.13 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.4% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.6% 1.74 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.9% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Juarez25.9%
Draw27.1%
CF Pachuca46.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%
Both teams to scoreYes57.6%
No42.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.1%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)74.1%
Handicap -1CF Pachuca win25.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss52.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-29.5%
0-18.4%

FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca stats

FC Juarez and CF Pachuca recent form

newest first
FC Juarez LLLLWW
CF Pachuca DDLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Juarez and CF Pachuca going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Juarez record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CF Pachuca record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC Juarez wins 2Draws 5CF Pachuca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-08CF PachucaFC JuarezLiga MX2-0
2025-11-24FC JuarezCF PachucaLiga MX2-1
2025-10-18FC JuarezCF PachucaLiga MX2-2
2025-03-01FC JuarezCF PachucaLiga MX2-2
2024-11-10CF PachucaFC JuarezLiga MX0-1
2024-03-03CF PachucaFC JuarezLiga MX3-2
2023-10-21FC JuarezCF PachucaLiga MX0-1
2023-01-23CF PachucaFC JuarezLiga MX4-1
2022-09-15FC JuarezCF PachucaLiga MX2-1
2022-04-16FC JuarezCF PachucaLiga MX1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.8%, draw 27.3%, away 46.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.55 3.55 1.97
1xBet 3.80 3.35 1.95
Bet365 3.90 3.40 2.00
BetVictor 3.60 3.40 1.95
Betano 3.80 3.35 2.00
Betfair 3.40 3.60 1.95
Dafabet 3.75 3.45 2.02
Marathonbet 3.70 3.40 1.94
Pinnacle 3.76 3.55 2.03
SBO 3.04 3.18 1.98
Superbet 3.40 3.35 2.15
Unibet 3.35 3.35 2.04
William Hill 3.40 3.10 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.60 ▼ -0.12
X 3.40 ▼ -0.27
2 1.98 ▲ +0.08

11 snapshots recorded, from .