Liga MX · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca

0 – 3 Full time

6′Christian Rivera
12′Eduardo Tercero
13′Salomón Rondón
15′Robert Nunes
20′Robert Nunes
26′Martín Fernández
37′Robert NunesRodolfo Pizarro
38′Oussama Idrissi
45′Sergio Rodríguez
45′Martín FernándezJosé Daniel González Pichardo
45′Eugenio PizzutoLuis Puente
45′Cristóbal AlfaroJuan Carrera
65′Joaquín Alejandro Moxica ChapaJairon Charcopa
66′Salomón RondónAdrián Alcaraz
66′Sergio RodríguezJavier Vallejo
77′Oussama IdrissiMauricio Isais
78′Alan BautistaUlises Natanael Martínez Reynoso
78′Eduardo TerceroArmando Escobar
82′Carlos Sánchez

Estadio Banorte, Mexico CityReferee: Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico

Atlante FC 30%
Draw 29%
CF Pachuca 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

32 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 8
56 Possession % 44
5 Corners 5
7 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
5 Saves 5
441 Accurate passes 322

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtlante FCDrawCF Pachuca
Model30.7%32.7%36.7%
Market30.0%27.6%42.4%
Final30.2%28.9%41.0%
Edge+0.7%+5.0%-5.7%

Confidence: Low

Why CF Pachuca

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atlante FC ↓ / CF Pachuca → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 12% 8% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Atlante FC and CF Pachuca expected goals

Atlante FC 0.99
CF Pachuca 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.09

Atlante FC and CF Pachuca attack and defence ratings

Atlante FC

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.02 +2%

CF Pachuca

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca: result vs prediction

Atlante FC 0 – 3 CF Pachuca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Liga MX

Before and after this match

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CF Pachuca 41.0% 2.44 -5.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.3% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atlante FC30.2%
Draw28.9%
CF Pachuca41.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.8%
Under 2.565.2%
Both teams to scoreYes43.3%
No56.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.0%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)69.8%
Handicap -1CF Pachuca win15.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss63.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.7%
0-112.3%

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca stats

Atlante FC and CF Pachuca recent form

newest first
Atlante FC DDLDLL
CF Pachuca WDDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atlante FC and CF Pachuca going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atlante FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CF Pachuca record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Atlante FC wins 0Draws 0CF Pachuca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-23CF PachucaAtlante FCFriendlies Clubs0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 27.4%, away 42.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.98 3.45 2.24
1xBet 3.12 3.34 2.21
888Sport 2.90 3.10 2.15
Bet365 3.10 3.50 2.20
BetVictor 3.00 3.40 2.20
Betano 3.05 3.40 2.27
Betfair 3.00 3.50 2.20
Dafabet 3.15 3.50 2.24
Marathonbet 3.12 3.35 2.17
Pinnacle 3.18 3.50 2.28
SBO 2.76 3.13 2.13
Superbet 3.10 3.45 2.22
Unibet 3.20 3.40 2.07
William Hill 2.80 3.10 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.11 ▼ -0.43
X 3.38 ▼ -0.08
2 2.20 ▲ +0.20

12 snapshots recorded, from .