Leagues Cup · Full time ·Third place

Leon vs Club America

1 – 0 Full time

25′Alan Cervantes
31′José Rodríguez
46′S. VegasS. Reyes
46′F. Beltran CruzI. Diaz
46′E. CerrilloE. Sanchez
56′Salvador Reyes
57′Cristián Borja
60′O. PereaH. Martin
60′A. CardenasI. Violante
62′J. CortizoJ. P. Dominguez Chonteco
63′Juan Guevara
76′D. EspinozaK. Alvarez
76′Raphael VeigaIcaro
80′R. EcheverriaA. Alvarado
80′D. Cambindo
85′I. MorenoB. Colula
88′Ramón Juárez
90′Erick Sánchez
90′Brian Rodríguez

Referee: Oshane Nation, Jamaica

Leon 32%
Draw 27%
Club America 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
45 Possession % 55
2 Corners 8
20 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
4 Saves 2
293 Accurate passes 356

Leon vs Club America overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leon vs Club America

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeonDrawClub America
Model36.5%29.0%34.4%
Market31.0%26.3%42.7%
Final32.4%27.0%40.6%
Edge+5.6%+2.7%-8.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leon ↓ / Club America → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Leon and Club America expected goals

Leon 1.31
Club America 1.27

Total expected goals: 2.58

Leon and Club America attack and defence ratings

Leon

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Club America

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Leon vs Club America: result vs prediction

Leon 1 – 0 Club America

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Leon vs Club America markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club America 40.6% 2.46 -8.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leon32.4%
Draw27.0%
Club America40.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes53.7%
No46.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.4%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)67.6%
Handicap -1Club America win15.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-08.9%
1-08.7%

Leon vs Club America stats

Leon and Club America recent form

newest first
Leon LDWWWW
Club America DWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leon and Club America going into this match

league record before kick-off

Leon record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Club America record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Leon vs Club America head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Leon wins 5Draws 4Club America wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22LeonClub AmericaLiga MX2-3
2025-11-02Club AmericaLeonLiga MX2-0
2025-02-20Club AmericaLeonLiga MX1-1
2024-10-06LeonClub AmericaLiga MX1-1
2024-02-11LeonClub AmericaLiga MX0-1
2023-12-03Club AmericaLeonLiga MX2-0
2023-11-30LeonClub AmericaLiga MX2-2
2023-08-27Club AmericaLeonLiga MX1-1
2023-04-02Club AmericaLeonLiga MX2-2
2022-08-01LeonClub AmericaLiga MX3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leon vs Club America odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 26.3%, away 42.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.02 3.60 2.18
Bet365 3.10 3.40 2.25
BetVictor 2.90 3.50 2.15
Marathonbet 3.02 3.60 2.16
Pinnacle 3.06 3.61 2.30
William Hill 2.80 3.20 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.02 ▲ +0.06
X 3.55 —
2 2.19 ▲ +0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from .