Club America
vs
Monterrey
2 – 2 Full time
| 49′ | D. Rossi | ||
| 56′ | Lucas Ocampos | ||
| 57′ | R. Juarez | ||
| 63′ | A. Cervantes | ||
| 69′ | L. Ocampos | ||
| 78′ | I. ViolanteO. Perea | ||
| 81′ | L. OcamposL. Orellano | ||
| 84′ | H. MartinA. Cardenas | ||
| 86′ | Ramón Juárez | ||
| 88′ | O. PinedaF. Ambriz |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 14 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 292 | Accurate passes | 322 |
Club America vs Monterrey overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club America vs Monterrey
| Probability | Club America | Draw | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.3% | 17.2% | 9.5% |
| Market | 41.3% | 28.2% | 30.6% |
| Final | 49.3% | 25.4% | 25.3% |
| Edge | +32.0% | -11.0% | -21.1% |
Why Club America
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club America below the model: +32.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club America and Monterrey expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.36
Club America and Monterrey attack and defence ratings
Club America
Monterrey
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club America vs Monterrey: result vs prediction
Club America 2 – 2 Monterrey
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Semi-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Club America vs Monterrey markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 49.3% | 2.03 | +32.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club America | 49.3% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Monterrey | 25.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win | 52.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 26.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 3-0 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Club America vs Monterrey stats
Club America and Monterrey recent form
| Club America |
WWWWDW |
| Monterrey |
LWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club America and Monterrey going into this match
Club America record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Monterrey record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club America vs Monterrey head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Club America | Monterrey | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Club America | Monterrey | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Monterrey | Club America | Liga MX | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Monterrey | Club America | Liga MX | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-17 | Monterrey | Club America | Liga MX | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-16 | Monterrey | Club America | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-13 | Club America | Monterrey | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-28 | Club America | Monterrey | Liga MX | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Club America | Monterrey | Liga MX | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Monterrey | Club America | Liga MX | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club America vs Monterrey odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 28.2%, away 30.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.26 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.36 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.33 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.41 | 3.04 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.11 | 2.88 |
| Superbet | 2.37 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.16 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .